La scuola delle quote

Northamptonshire v Somerset

Inizio: 2026-07-18 10:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Northamptonshire (Casa)

Previsione 38.65%2.59quota equa
EV -1.44%
Vantaggio -0.564%
Kelly -0.927%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.55

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.35%39.71%38.70%45.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.092.402.452.5547.85%41.60%40.82%39.22%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Somerset (Trasferta)

Previsione 61.35%1.63quota equa
EV +6.13%
Vantaggio +3.54%
Kelly +8.40%
Crescita +0.515%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.73

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.83%60.29%61.30%62.65%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.501.571.551.7366.67%63.85%64.52%57.80%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -18.83%E -8.97%K -17.12%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +6.13%E +3.54%K +8.40%G +0.515%5.4%2026-07-18 08:05
Pinnacle2.09I 47.85%NM 44.56%EV -19.22%E -9.19%K -17.63%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.44%EV +3.06%E +1.82%K +4.51%G +0.138%7.4%2026-07-18 08:20
Marathon Bet2.14I 46.73%NM 43.24%EV -17.28%E -8.08%K -15.16%G +0.000%1.63I 61.35%NM 56.76%EV -0.003%E -0.002%K -0.004%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-18 09:35
Unibet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
LiveScore Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Casumo2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Virgin Bet2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Grosvenor2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
Unibet (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:55
TABtouch2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
ATG (SE)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -9.17%E -3.90%K -6.79%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -1.84%E -1.15%K -3.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-18 09:50
NordicBet2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 09:50
Betway2.50I 40.00%NM 38.27%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.73%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-18 09:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 09:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-18 09:50
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -7.24%E -3.01%K -5.17%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.91%E -3.17%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-18 09:55
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
888sport2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:55
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:59
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-18 09:50
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 09:57
Bet Victor2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -8.01%E -3.36%K -5.80%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.14%E -4.01%K -11.58%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-18 09:59
Betsson2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -1.44%E -0.564%K -0.927%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.75%E -4.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-18 09:54
TAB2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -3.37%E -1.35%K -2.25%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.75%E -4.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-18 09:55
SportsBet2.48I 40.32%NM 38.00%EV -4.14%E -1.67%K -2.80%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.00%EV -6.75%E -4.44%K -12.98%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-18 09:55
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -5.30%E -2.16%K -3.66%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.98%E -5.32%K -15.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-18 09:58
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%0.4%2026-07-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-07-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.41%1.59I 62.89%NM 62.59%0.5%2026-07-18 09:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.24%1.61I 62.11%NM 61.76%0.6%2026-07-18 09:55
Smarkets2.56I 39.06%NM 38.16%1.58I 63.29%NM 61.84%2.4%2026-07-18 09:55