The School of Odds

Northamptonshire v Birmingham Bears

2026-07-12 13:30 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Northamptonshire (Local)

Prediction 54.67%1.83fair odd
EV +2.79%
Edge +1.48%
Kelly +3.17%
Growth +0.088%

assuming max odds 1.88

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
50.00%54.35%54.83%56.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.651.781.751.8861%56%57%53%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Birmingham Bears (Visit)

Prediction 45.33%2.21fair odd
EV -0.285%
Edge -0.130%
Kelly -0.237%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.20

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
44.00%45.65%45.17%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.882.022.052.2053%50%49%45%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
Unibet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
Grosvenor1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Unibet (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
TABtouch1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
Virgin Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Casumo1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
LiveScore Bet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:30
ATG (SE)1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV +2.79%E +1.48%K +3.17%G +0.088%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.00%EV -14.79%E -7.87%K -16.81%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 21:29
Marathon Bet1.81I 55.25%NM 51.08%EV -1.04%E -0.574%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 48.92%EV -14.34%E -7.59%K -16.11%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-10 23:29
Pinnacle1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -3.77%E -2.14%K -4.96%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 23:10
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.08%E -3.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:24
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.08%E -3.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.08%E -3.46%K -6.75%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-10 23:29
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -4.32%E -2.47%K -5.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -9.35%E -4.67%K -9.35%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:29
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -0.285%E -0.130%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 01:39
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 55.98%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.02%EV -0.285%E -0.130%K -0.237%G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-11 01:39
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 01:44
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-11 01:44
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 23:24
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 23:24
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.41%E -3.13%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 23:29
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.96%E -3.46%K -8.28%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 01:50
Neds1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 01:39
Ladbrokes (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.05%E -4.15%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-11 01:39
Bet Victor1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.69%E -5.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 01:34
Unibet (UK)1.67I 59.88%NM 55.70%EV -8.69%E -5.21%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.30%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-11 01:39
Betway1.65I 60.61%NM 56.00%EV -9.79%E -5.93%K -15.06%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -4.82%E -2.29%K -4.38%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 01:34
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -11.43%E -7.05%K -18.43%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV +1.98%E +0.881%K +1.59%G +0.031%6.2%2026-07-10 21:45
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.70I 58.82%NM 55.73%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.27%5.6%2026-07-11 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.36I 73.53%NM 50.72%1.40I 71.43%NM 49.28%45.0%2026-07-11 00:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 50.72%1.40I 71.43%NM 49.28%45.0%2026-07-11 00:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.34I 74.63%NM 50.00%1.34I 74.63%NM 50.00%49.3%2026-07-11 00:49
Arbitrage (18 combinations) +1.37%Unibet 1.88 (53.9%) / Coral 2.20 (46.1%)Show all 18 combinations
Northamptonshire (Local)Birmingham Bears (Visit)Margin
Unibet 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
Grosvenor 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
Unibet (SE) 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
TABtouch 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
Virgin Bet 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
LeoVegas (SE) 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
Casumo 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
LiveScore Bet 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
ATG (SE) 1.88 (54.5%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (45.5%)+2.42%
Unibet 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Unibet 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Grosvenor 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Grosvenor 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Unibet (SE) 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Unibet (SE) 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
TABtouch 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
TABtouch 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Virgin Bet 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Virgin Bet 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
LeoVegas (SE) 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
LeoVegas (SE) 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Casumo 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Casumo 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
LiveScore Bet 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
LiveScore Bet 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
ATG (SE) 1.88 (53.9%)Coral 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
ATG (SE) 1.88 (53.9%)Ladbrokes (UK) 2.20 (46.1%)+1.37%
Marathon Bet 1.81 (55.4%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.25 (44.6%)+0.308%