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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Northamptonshire v Birmingham Bears

开赛时间： 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

32 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Northamptonshire (主队)

预测 55.49%1.80公平赔率
EV -0.109%
优势 -0.061%
Kelly -0.136%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%55.26%56.58%57.89%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.601.681.671.8062.50%59.53%59.70%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

Birmingham Bears (客队)

预测 44.51%2.25公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.949%
Kelly -1.74%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
42.11%44.74%43.42%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.002.152.152.2050.00%46.50%46.51%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Northamptonshire (主队)：55.49%；Birmingham Bears (客队)：44.51%。 对于“Northamptonshire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.802。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.800，期望值为-0.109%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (32 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -0.109%E -0.061%K -0.136%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -10.99%E -5.49%K -10.99%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:09
BetOnline.ag🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -1.77%E -1.00%K -2.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -10.99%E -5.49%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 19:39
Pinnacle🎯1.76I 56.82%NM 53.19%EV -2.33%E -1.32%K -3.06%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -10.99%E -5.49%K -10.99%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 23:10
William Hill🎯1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -3.99%E -2.31%K -5.47%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -6.54%E -3.11%K -5.94%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 23:24
Marathon Bet🎯1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -5.10%E -2.98%K -7.19%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -10.10%E -5.00%K -9.90%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 12:09
Betsson🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:24
NordicBet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.70%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.30%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:24
Unibet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
Grosvenor🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
TABtouch🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
Virgin Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:20
Casumo🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
LiveScore Bet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
ATG (SE)🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -6.77%E -4.03%K -9.95%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-12 13:19
Coral🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
Sky Bet🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
Paddy Power🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
888sport🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
betfred_uk🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
Neds🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -7.32%E -4.39%K -10.93%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet (UK)🎯1.66I 60.24%NM 56.99%EV -7.88%E -4.75%K -11.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.01%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-12 13:24
SportsBet🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.43%E -5.11%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 13:19
TAB🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -8.43%E -5.11%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 13:19
Betway🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.43%E -5.11%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:19
Betr (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -8.43%E -5.11%K -12.97%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:24
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -10.65%E -6.62%K -17.46%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -4.31%E -2.01%K -3.75%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:24
betano_uk🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -11.21%E -7.01%K -18.68%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -2.09%E -0.949%K -1.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 13:23
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.67I 59.88%NM 59.17%2.42I 41.32%NM 40.83%1.2%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 60.29%2.46I 40.65%NM 39.71%2.4%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.63I 61.35%NM 59.15%2.36I 42.37%NM 40.85%3.7%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.62I 61.73%NM 59.50%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.50%3.7%2026-07-12 13:24
Smarkets◎1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%6.1%2026-07-12 13:25