Language:English
Leicestershire v Nottinghamshire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Leicestershire (Local)
Prediction 40.40%2.47fair odd
EV +1.01%
Edge +0.405%
Kelly +0.675%
Growth +0.007%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%40.80%40.57%44.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.112.312.302.5047.39%43.28%43.48%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Nottinghamshire (Visit)
Prediction 59.60%1.68fair odd
EV +0.120%
Edge +0.071%
Kelly +0.176%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.68
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.67%59.20%59.43%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.591.581.6865.36%62.71%63.09%59.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Leicestershire (Local): 40.40%; Nottinghamshire (Visit): 59.60%. For Leicestershire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.47. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +1.01%.
Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.01%E -0.411%K -0.695%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-28 11:29 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 01:20 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-28 01:10 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.75%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-28 09:09 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -14.75%E -6.99%K -13.28%G +0.000% | 1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV +0.120%E +0.071%K +0.176%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-06-27 19:30 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 0.5% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58% | 0.7% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 13:19 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39% | 1.0% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95% | 2.3% | 2026-06-28 13:20 |