La scuola delle quote

Leicestershire v Nottinghamshire

Inizio: 2026-06-28 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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28 bookmaker (7 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Leicestershire (Casa)

Previsione 40.40%2.47quota equa
EV +1.01%
Vantaggio +0.405%
Kelly +0.675%
Crescita +0.007%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.50

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
37.97%40.80%40.57%44.33%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.112.312.302.5047.39%43.28%43.48%40.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nottinghamshire (Trasferta)

Previsione 59.60%1.68quota equa
EV +0.120%
Vantaggio +0.071%
Kelly +0.176%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.68

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
55.67%59.20%59.43%62.03%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.531.591.581.6865.36%62.71%63.09%59.52%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (28 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 13:19
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-28 13:19
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 13:19
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +1.01%E +0.405%K +0.675%G +0.007%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-28 13:19
SportsBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -1.01%E -0.411%K -0.695%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 13:19
Unibet (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -3.03%E -1.26%K -2.16%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 13:19
BoyleSports2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.84%E -1.61%K -2.78%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-28 11:29
Ladbrokes (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 13:19
Neds2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 13:19
Betr (AU)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -7.63%E -4.92%K -13.87%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-28 13:19
Betway2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -5.05%E -2.15%K -3.74%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -8.82%E -5.76%K -16.64%G +0.000%7.9%2026-06-28 13:19
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.46%E -2.13%K -5.57%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 01:20
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.05%E -2.52%K -6.64%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-28 01:10
TAB2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.65%E -2.90%K -7.75%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-28 13:19
Bet Victor2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -7.07%E -3.07%K -5.44%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-28 13:20
Marathon Bet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -9.09%E -4.04%K -7.27%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.44%E -4.10%K -11.29%G +0.000%8.1%2026-06-28 13:20
Virgin Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
LiveScore Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
Casumo2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
LeoVegas2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
Grosvenor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:10
Unibet (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
TABtouch2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
Unibet2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:10
ATG (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 42.71%EV -11.11%E -5.05%K -9.26%G +0.000%1.64I 60.98%NM 57.29%EV -2.26%E -1.38%K -3.54%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-28 09:09
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -14.75%E -6.99%K -13.28%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV +0.120%E +0.071%K +0.176%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-27 19:30
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%0.5%2026-06-28 13:20
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.42%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.58%0.7%2026-06-28 13:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-28 13:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.50I 40.00%NM 39.61%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.39%1.0%2026-06-28 13:20
Smarkets2.44I 40.98%NM 40.05%1.63I 61.35%NM 59.95%2.3%2026-06-28 13:20