Leicestershire v Durham

2026-07-08 17:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Option 1: Leicestershire (Local)

Odds

2.1047.62%Min

2.2544.42%Mean

2.2743.96%Median

2.3842.02%Max

Consensus probabilities

39.75%2.516Min

45.17%2.214Max

42.25%2.367Mean

41.10%2.433Median

42.12%2.374IQM

42.48%2.354Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.38 under the IQM model: 42.12%

EV +0.241%Edge +0.101%Kelly +0.175%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Durham (Visit)

Odds

1.5763.69%Min

1.6361.48%Mean

1.5962.89%Median

1.7357.80%Max

Consensus probabilities

54.83%1.824Min

60.25%1.660Max

57.75%1.731Mean

58.90%1.698Median

57.88%1.728IQM

57.52%1.739Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.73 under the IQM model: 57.88%

EV +0.135%Edge +0.078%Kelly +0.185%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Leicestershire (Local) ▼	Durham (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Paddy Power	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV +0.241% E +0.101% K +0.175% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -9.13% E -5.81% K -16.01% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 17:08
Sky Bet	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV +0.241% E +0.101% K +0.175% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -9.13% E -5.81% K -16.01% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 17:09
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV +0.241% E +0.101% K +0.175% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -9.13% E -5.81% K -16.01% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-05 18:10
Coral	2.37I 42.19% NM 39.85%EV -0.180% E -0.076% K -0.131% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.15%EV -9.13% E -5.81% K -16.01% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-05 17:09
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.37I 42.19% NM 39.85%EV -0.180% E -0.076% K -0.131% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.15%EV -9.13% E -5.81% K -16.01% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-05 17:10
SportsBet	2.34I 42.74% NM 40.31%EV -1.44% E -0.617% K -1.08% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 59.69%EV -8.55% E -5.41% K -14.74% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 17:10
Neds	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -3.13% E -1.36% K -2.41% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -7.39% E -4.62% K -12.32% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 17:09
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -3.13% E -1.36% K -2.41% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -7.39% E -4.62% K -12.32% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-05 17:10
Unibet (UK)	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -3.13% E -1.36% K -2.41% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -8.55% E -5.41% K -14.74% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-05 17:10
Bet Victor	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -5.23% E -2.33% K -4.19% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -9.13% E -5.81% K -16.01% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-05 17:09
Betway	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -5.23% E -2.33% K -4.19% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -9.13% E -5.81% K -16.01% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-05 19:10
Betsson	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -9.45% E -4.39% K -8.21% G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -1.60% E -0.942% K -2.29% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 18:45
888sport	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -9.45% E -4.39% K -8.21% G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -1.60% E -0.942% K -2.29% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 18:45
NordicBet	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -9.45% E -4.39% K -8.21% G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -1.60% E -0.942% K -2.29% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 18:45
William Hill	2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -9.45% E -4.39% K -8.21% G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -1.60% E -0.942% K -2.29% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-05 19:10
betfred_uk	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -11.55% E -5.50% K -10.50% G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV +0.135% E +0.078% K +0.185% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-05 18:44
Betr (AU)	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -11.55% E -5.50% K -10.50% G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -1.60% E -0.942% K -2.29% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 18:45
TAB	2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -11.55% E -5.50% K -10.50% G +0.000%	1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -1.60% E -0.942% K -2.29% G +0.000%	6.4%	2026-07-05 18:50

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Leicestershire (Local)	Durham (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.30I 43.48%	1.60I 62.50%	6.0%	2026-07-05 17:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.79I 55.87%	1.55I 64.52%	20.4%	2026-07-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.79I 55.87%	1.55I 64.52%	20.4%	2026-07-05 19:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.79I 55.87%	1.47I 68.03%	23.9%	2026-07-05 19:05

Arbitrage (5 combinations) +0.18%Paddy Power 2.38 (42.1%) / betfred_uk 1.73 (57.9%)Show all 5 combinations

Leicestershire (Local)	Durham (Visit)	Margin
Paddy Power 2.38 (42.1%)	betfred_uk 1.73 (57.9%)	+0.180%
Sky Bet 2.38 (42.1%)	betfred_uk 1.73 (57.9%)	+0.180%
Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 2.38 (42.1%)	betfred_uk 1.73 (57.9%)	+0.180%
Coral 2.37 (42.2%)	betfred_uk 1.73 (57.8%)	+0.002%
Ladbrokes (UK) 2.37 (42.2%)	betfred_uk 1.73 (57.8%)	+0.002%