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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Leicestershire v Durham

开赛时间： 2026-07-08 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Leicestershire (主队)

预测 45.40%2.20公平赔率
EV -0.117%
优势 -0.053%
Kelly -0.097%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.20

博彩公司预测分布
43.15%45.52%45.37%47.37%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.952.072.102.2051.28%48.36%47.62%45.45%最小值均值中位数最大值

Durham (客队)

预测 54.60%1.83公平赔率
EV -1.72%
优势 -0.957%
Kelly -2.15%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.80

博彩公司预测分布
52.63%54.48%54.63%56.85%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.671.731.711.8059.88%57.70%58.48%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Leicestershire (主队)：45.40%；Durham (客队)：54.60%。 对于“Leicestershire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.203。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.200，期望值为-0.117%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BoyleSports🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.117%E -0.053%K -0.097%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.82%E -5.28%K -13.17%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 14:30
William Hill🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 19:10
TAB🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV -2.39%E -1.11%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -8.27%E -4.93%K -12.17%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-08 17:15
betfred_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.54%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 17:15
888sport🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.54%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 17:15
Betsson🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:15
NordicBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -6.09%E -3.54%K -8.46%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:15
Betr (AU)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-08 17:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:24
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:24
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:25
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:24
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:24
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:24
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:24
ATG (SE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -4.66%E -2.22%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-06 08:25
Pinnacle🎯2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.02%E -2.91%K -5.63%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-06 17:45
Bet Victor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -6.93%E -3.38%K -6.60%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.54%E -3.21%K -7.60%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 17:14
SportsBet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 46.72%EV -7.83%E -3.86%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 53.28%EV -2.81%E -1.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 17:20
Marathon Bet🎯2.03I 49.26%NM 45.58%EV -7.83%E -3.86%K -7.61%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.42%EV -7.18%E -4.23%K -10.26%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 17:20
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.72%E -0.957%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.72%E -0.957%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.72%E -0.957%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.72%E -0.957%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.72%E -0.957%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.72%E -0.957%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -1.72%E -0.957%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Unibet (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV -9.20%E -4.60%K -9.20%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -2.81%E -1.58%K -3.61%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-08 17:20
Betway🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -11.47%E -5.88%K -12.07%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -4.45%E -2.54%K -5.94%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 17:20
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-08 17:25
Matchbook◎2.20I 45.45%NM 45.27%1.82I 54.95%NM 54.73%0.4%2026-07-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.86%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.14%0.9%2026-07-08 17:25
Smarkets◎2.16I 46.30%NM 45.45%1.80I 55.56%NM 54.55%1.9%2026-07-08 17:25