Lancashire v Derbyshire

2026-07-06 17:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Lancashire (Local)

Odds

1.5066.67%Min

1.5166.01%Mean

1.5265.79%Median

1.5763.69%Max

Consensus probabilities

60.25%1.660Min

62.78%1.593Max

61.54%1.625Mean

61.56%1.624Median

61.66%1.622IQM

61.54%1.625Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.57 under the IQM model: 61.66%

EV -3.19%Edge -2.03%Kelly -5.60%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Derbyshire (Visit)

Odds

2.3842.02%Min

2.4840.39%Mean

2.5040.00%Median

2.5339.53%Max

Consensus probabilities

37.22%2.687Min

39.75%2.516Max

38.46%2.600Mean

38.44%2.601Median

38.34%2.608IQM

38.46%2.600Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.53 under the IQM model: 38.34%

EV -3.00%Edge -1.19%Kelly -1.96%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Lancashire (Local) ▼	Derbyshire (Visit)	Margin	Updated
BoyleSports	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -3.19% E -2.03% K -5.60% G +0.000%	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -8.75% E -3.68% K -6.34% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-04 12:40
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 21:45
Coral	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 21:45
Sky Bet	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 21:45
Paddy Power	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 21:45
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 21:55
betfred_uk	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 22:20
888sport	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 22:20
William Hill	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-03 22:45
BetOnline.ag	1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -5.66% E -3.70% K -10.68% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -6.07% E -2.48% K -4.18% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 02:13
Betsson	1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -6.28% E -4.13% K -12.07% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 22:20
NordicBet	1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -6.28% E -4.13% K -12.07% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 22:20
TAB	1.52I 65.79% NM 62.19%EV -6.28% E -4.13% K -12.07% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.81%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	5.8%	2026-07-03 22:29
Neds	1.52I 65.79% NM 61.71%EV -6.28% E -4.13% K -12.07% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.29%EV -6.07% E -2.48% K -4.18% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-05 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.52I 65.79% NM 61.71%EV -6.28% E -4.13% K -12.07% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.29%EV -6.07% E -2.48% K -4.18% G +0.000%	6.6%	2026-07-05 07:10
Pinnacle	1.52I 65.79% NM 61.13%EV -6.28% E -4.13% K -12.07% G +0.000%	2.39I 41.84% NM 38.87%EV -8.37% E -3.50% K -6.02% G +0.000%	7.6%	2026-07-04 17:40
SportsBet	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.78%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.53I 39.53% NM 37.22%EV -3.00% E -1.19% K -1.96% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-05 07:05
LiveScore Bet	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:30
Casumo	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:29
Unibet	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:29
Virgin Bet	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:29
Unibet (SE)	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:30
TABtouch	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:30
Grosvenor	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:30
ATG (SE)	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.50%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.50%EV -4.15% E -1.66% K -2.77% G +0.000%	6.7%	2026-07-04 11:29
Unibet (UK)	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.03%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.97%EV -6.07% E -2.48% K -4.18% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-05 07:05
Betr (AU)	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.03%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.97%EV -6.07% E -2.48% K -4.18% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-03 22:20
Marathon Bet	1.50I 66.67% NM 61.64%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.41I 41.49% NM 38.36%EV -7.60% E -3.15% K -5.39% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-05 07:19
Bet Victor	1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -7.98% E -3.33% K -5.70% G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-05 07:05
Betway	1.50I 66.67% NM 61.54%EV -7.51% E -5.01% K -15.02% G +0.000%	2.40I 41.67% NM 38.46%EV -7.98% E -3.33% K -5.70% G +0.000%	8.3%	2026-07-05 07:10

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Lancashire (Local)	Derbyshire (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.52I 65.79%	2.50I 40.00%	5.8%	2026-07-05 07:10
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.50I 66.67%	2.42I 41.32%	8.0%	2026-07-05 07:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.50I 66.67%	2.42I 41.32%	8.0%	2026-07-05 07:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.50I 66.67%	1.50I 66.67%	33.3%	2026-07-05 07:10