La scuola delle quote

Lancashire v Derbyshire

Inizio: 2026-07-06 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Lancashire (Casa)

Previsione 62.71%1.59quota equa
EV -4.05%
Vantaggio -2.65%
Kelly -7.64%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
61.13%63.00%62.50%65.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.511.501.5369.44%66.43%66.67%65.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derbyshire (Trasferta)

Previsione 37.29%2.68quota equa
EV +2.54%
Vantaggio +0.924%
Kelly +1.45%
Crescita +0.037%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
34.37%37.00%37.50%38.87%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.392.522.502.7541.84%39.73%40.00%36.36%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -9.69%E -6.73%K -22.03%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV +2.54%E +0.924%K +1.45%G +0.037%5.8%2026-07-06 17:19
Betsson1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.19%E -4.85%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.19%E -0.449%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:25
NordicBet1.48I 67.57%NM 64.16%EV -7.19%E -4.85%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.84%EV -1.19%E -0.449%K -0.721%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 17:25
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.31%E -0.881%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-06 17:25
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -3.05%E -1.17%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 17:20
SportsBet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.87%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.13%EV -5.29%E -2.08%K -3.44%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-06 17:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:15
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:15
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:15
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-06 17:15
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.05%E -2.65%K -7.64%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 22:45
Unibet (UK)1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-06 17:15
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-03 22:29
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 17:20
Betway1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-06 17:10
LiveScore Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:30
Casumo1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:29
Unibet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:29
Virgin Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:29
Unibet (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:30
TABtouch1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:30
Grosvenor1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:30
ATG (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -6.78%E -2.71%K -4.52%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-04 11:29
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57%NM 62.44%EV -7.19%E -4.85%K -14.97%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 37.56%EV -8.27%E -3.36%K -5.67%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-06 17:10
Neds1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 17:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-06 17:14
Betr (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -5.93%E -3.95%K -11.86%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -8.65%E -3.53%K -5.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-06 17:20
Pinnacle1.52I 65.79%NM 61.13%EV -4.68%E -3.08%K -8.99%G +0.000%2.39I 41.84%NM 38.87%EV -10.88%E -4.55%K -7.83%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-04 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 64.20%2.78I 35.97%NM 35.80%0.5%2026-07-06 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.56I 64.10%NM 63.72%2.74I 36.50%NM 36.28%0.6%2026-07-06 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-07-06 17:25
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%NM 64.52%2.80I 35.71%NM 35.48%0.6%2026-07-06 17:25
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 64.19%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.81%1.2%2026-07-06 17:25