Kent v Surrey

2026-07-10 17:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

40%

60%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kent (Local)

Prediction 40.19%2.49fair odd

EV +0.486%

Edge +0.194%

Kelly +0.324%

Growth +0.002%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

37.97%39.97%40.46%41.10%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

2.252.382.382.50MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

37.97%2.634Min

41.10%2.433Max

39.97%2.502Mean

40.46%2.471Median

40.19%2.488IQM

39.80%2.513Margin-weighted

Surrey (Visit)

Prediction 59.81%1.67fair odd

EV -4.31%

Edge -2.69%

Kelly -7.18%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

58.90%60.03%59.54%62.03%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.501.561.571.60MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

58.90%1.698Min

62.03%1.612Max

60.03%1.666Mean

59.54%1.680Median

59.81%1.672IQM

60.20%1.661Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Kent (Local) ▼	Surrey (Visit)	Margin	Updated
888sport	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV +0.486% E +0.194% K +0.324% G +0.002%	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -8.50% E -5.55% K -16.03% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 22:29
betfred_uk	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV +0.486% E +0.194% K +0.324% G +0.002%	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -8.50% E -5.55% K -16.03% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 22:29
William Hill	2.50I 40.00% NM 37.97%EV +0.486% E +0.194% K +0.324% G +0.002%	1.53I 65.36% NM 62.03%EV -8.50% E -5.55% K -16.03% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 22:59
NordicBet	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -1.52% E -0.622% K -1.05% G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -7.30% E -4.71% K -13.27% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 22:29
Betsson	2.45I 40.82% NM 38.75%EV -1.52% E -0.622% K -1.05% G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52% NM 61.25%EV -7.30% E -4.71% K -13.27% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 22:30
Betr (AU)	2.45I 40.82% NM 37.97%EV -1.52% E -0.622% K -1.05% G +0.000%	1.50I 66.67% NM 62.03%EV -10.29% E -6.86% K -20.58% G +0.000%	7.5%	2026-07-08 22:29
TAB	2.40I 41.67% NM 39.24%EV -3.53% E -1.47% K -2.52% G +0.000%	1.55I 64.52% NM 60.76%EV -7.30% E -4.71% K -13.27% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-08 22:40
Sky Bet	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -4.34% E -1.82% K -3.14% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-08 21:04
Paddy Power	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -4.34% E -1.82% K -3.14% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-08 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.38I 42.02% NM 39.75%EV -4.34% E -1.82% K -3.14% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.25%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	5.7%	2026-07-08 21:25
Coral	2.37I 42.19% NM 39.85%EV -4.74% E -2.00% K -3.46% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.15%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-08 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)	2.37I 42.19% NM 39.85%EV -4.74% E -2.00% K -3.46% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 60.15%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-08 21:00
SportsBet	2.35I 42.55% NM 40.05%EV -5.54% E -2.36% K -4.11% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 59.95%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	6.2%	2026-07-08 21:00
Pinnacle	2.32I 43.10% NM 40.21%EV -6.75% E -2.91% K -5.11% G +0.000%	1.56I 64.10% NM 59.79%EV -6.70% E -4.30% K -11.97% G +0.000%	7.2%	2026-07-08 23:40
Ladbrokes (AU)	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -7.55% E -3.28% K -5.81% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -4.31% E -2.69% K -7.18% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-08 21:00
Neds	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%EV -7.55% E -3.28% K -5.81% G +0.000%	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%EV -4.31% E -2.69% K -7.18% G +0.000%	6.0%	2026-07-08 21:00
Unibet (UK)	2.30I 43.48% NM 40.72%EV -7.55% E -3.28% K -5.81% G +0.000%	1.58I 63.29% NM 59.28%EV -5.51% E -3.49% K -9.49% G +0.000%	6.8%	2026-07-08 20:59
Bet Victor	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -9.56% E -4.25% K -7.65% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-08 20:59
Betway	2.25I 44.44% NM 41.10%EV -9.56% E -4.25% K -7.65% G +0.000%	1.57I 63.69% NM 58.90%EV -6.11% E -3.89% K -10.71% G +0.000%	8.1%	2026-07-08 21:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Kent (Local)	Surrey (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	2.30I 43.48% NM 41.03%	1.60I 62.50% NM 58.97%	6.0%	2026-07-08 21:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.51I 66.23% NM 48.99%	1.45I 68.97% NM 51.01%	35.2%	2026-07-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.51I 66.23% NM 48.99%	1.45I 68.97% NM 51.01%	35.2%	2026-07-08 21:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.50I 66.67% NM 49.15%	1.45I 68.97% NM 50.85%	35.6%	2026-07-09 01:40