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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Kent v Surrey

开赛时间： 2026-07-10 17:30 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Kent (主队)

预测 38.35%2.61公平赔率
EV -2.21%
优势 -0.867%
Kelly -1.43%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.55

博彩公司预测分布
37.35%38.68%38.02%41.47%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.232.402.382.5544.84%41.60%42.11%39.22%最小值均值中位数最大值

Surrey (客队)

预测 61.65%1.62公平赔率
EV -2.59%
优势 -1.64%
Kelly -4.47%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.58

博彩公司预测分布
58.53%61.32%61.98%62.65%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.501.551.561.5866.67%64.56%64.10%63.29%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Kent (主队)：38.35%；Surrey (客队)：61.65%。 对于“Kent (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.61。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.55，期望值为-2.21%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
NordicBet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.21%E -0.867%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 17:20
Betsson🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 37.35%EV -2.21%E -0.867%K -1.43%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.65%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-10 17:20
888sport🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.13%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 17:04
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.13%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 17:04
William Hill🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.13%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:59
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -4.13%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -5.67%E -3.71%K -10.71%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 10:39
TAB🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -4.13%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -6.29%E -4.14%K -12.10%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 17:24
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -4.13%E -1.65%K -2.75%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-10 17:18
Betr (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.97%EV -6.05%E -2.47%K -4.17%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.03%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-10 17:04
Pinnacle🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 38.07%EV -6.43%E -2.63%K -4.46%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.93%EV -7.52%E -5.02%K -15.05%G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-10 17:25
SportsBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.89%EV -7.20%E -2.97%K -5.07%G +0.000%1.54I 64.94%NM 61.11%EV -5.06%E -3.28%K -9.37%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 17:24
Unibet (UK)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.39%EV -7.96%E -3.32%K -5.69%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.61%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 17:24
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.73%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 21:04
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.73%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 21:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -8.73%E -3.67%K -6.33%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 21:25
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -9.11%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -9.11%E -3.85%K -6.65%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 21:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 17:09
Neds🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 17:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:50
LiveScore Bet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:50
Unibet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -3.21%E -2.04%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-09 12:49
Unibet (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:50
Grosvenor🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:50
Casumo🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:49
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:49
ATG (SE)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -3.82%E -2.45%K -6.83%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-09 12:50
Betway🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.74%EV -9.88%E -4.20%K -7.32%G +0.000%1.55I 64.52%NM 60.26%EV -4.44%E -2.87%K -8.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 17:25
Marathon Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 41.47%EV -14.48%E -6.49%K -11.77%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 58.53%EV -2.59%E -1.64%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 16:54
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-07-10 17:25
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.10%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.90%1.0%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.28%1.60I 62.50%NM 61.72%1.3%2026-07-10 17:25
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 38.96%1.57I 63.69%NM 61.04%4.3%2026-07-10 17:25