Language:English
Gloucestershire v Northamptonshire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gloucestershire (Local)
Prediction 41.36%2.42fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.661%
Kelly -1.14%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.38
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.75%41.34%41.10%43.72%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.37%44.44%42.02%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Northamptonshire (Visit)
Prediction 58.64%1.71fair odd
EV -2.06%
Edge -1.24%
Kelly -3.08%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.67
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
56.28%58.66%58.90%60.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.621.601.6763.69%61.75%62.50%59.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gloucestershire (Local): 41.36%; Northamptonshire (Visit): 58.64%. For Gloucestershire (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.42. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.38, with an expected value of -1.57%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.99%E -0.838%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.99%E -0.838%K -1.45%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-28 17:28 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.00%E -3.08%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-06-28 23:39 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-01 13:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.54%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.45%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-06-30 06:39 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-01 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 14:09 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.15%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-07-01 17:49 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:10 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-07-01 08:09 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 17:40 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24% | 0.6% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |
| Smarkets◎ | 2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00% | 1.6% | 2026-07-01 17:50 |