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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Gloucestershire v Northamptonshire

开赛时间： 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

31 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Gloucestershire (主队)

预测 41.36%2.42公平赔率
EV -1.57%
优势 -0.661%
Kelly -1.14%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.38

博彩公司预测分布
39.75%41.34%41.10%43.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.152.252.252.3846.51%44.37%44.44%42.02%最小值均值中位数最大值

Northamptonshire (客队)

预测 58.64%1.71公平赔率
EV -2.06%
优势 -1.24%
Kelly -3.08%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.67

博彩公司预测分布
56.28%58.66%58.90%60.25%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.571.621.601.6763.69%61.75%62.50%59.88%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Gloucestershire (主队)：41.36%；Northamptonshire (客队)：58.64%。 对于“Gloucestershire (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.42。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为2.38，期望值为-1.57%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (31 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 17:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 17:40
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -1.57%E -0.661%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-01 17:40
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.99%E -0.838%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -1.99%E -0.838%K -1.45%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 17:40
SportsBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.20%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.58I 63.29%NM 59.80%EV -7.34%E -4.65%K -12.66%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -2.81%E -1.20%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-28 17:28
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -5.00%E -3.08%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-06-28 23:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 17:40
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 17:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -4.88%E -2.12%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-01 13:40
Pinnacle🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.30%EV -6.54%E -2.89%K -5.19%G +0.000%1.59I 62.89%NM 58.70%EV -6.76%E -4.25%K -11.45%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-30 06:39
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -3.24%E -1.96%K -4.98%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 14:09
Betway🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -6.95%E -3.09%K -5.56%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -7.93%E -5.05%K -13.91%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-01 17:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:50
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:50
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.26%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 57.74%EV -5.58%E -3.47%K -9.15%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 17:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -9.02%E -4.10%K -7.51%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -6.17%E -3.86%K -10.28%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-01 17:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LiveScore Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Casumo🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Grosvenor🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
TABtouch🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
Unibet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -11.08%E -5.16%K -9.64%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -2.06%E -1.24%K -3.08%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 08:09
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-01 17:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.76%1.65I 60.61%NM 60.24%0.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Smarkets◎2.46I 40.65%NM 40.00%1.64I 60.98%NM 60.00%1.6%2026-07-01 17:50