Language:English
Gloucestershire v Glamorgan
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Gloucestershire (Local)
Prediction 57.90%1.73fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.70
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%58.25%57.69%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.621.7065.36%62.45%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Glamorgan (Visit)
Prediction 42.10%2.38fair odd
EV +5.25%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +3.50%
Growth +0.184%
assuming max odds 2.50
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%41.75%42.31%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.252.5046.51%43.59%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Gloucestershire (Local): 57.90%; Glamorgan (Visit): 42.10%. For Glamorgan (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.38. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.25%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coral🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184% | 5.4% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV +3.57%E +1.45%K +2.44%G +0.087% | 6.0% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +3.15%E +1.28%K +2.17%G +0.068% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.04%E +0.434%K +0.744%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.04%E +0.434%K +0.744%G +0.008% | 6.2% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -1.06%E -0.452%K -0.787%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000% | 2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-12 13:14 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 13:19 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-07-12 13:19 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 12:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 08:25 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 13:24 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 13:19 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-07-12 13:24 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.36%E -4.60%K -12.27%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-07-12 13:24 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -9.06%E -4.20%K -7.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-11 19:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.57%E -0.924%K -2.24%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-12 08:45 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-10 23:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 13:19 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-07-12 13:23 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67% | 0.8% | 2026-07-12 13:24 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86% | 2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14% | 1.1% | 2026-07-12 13:24 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.25% | 9.6% | 2026-07-12 13:25 |
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