The School of Odds
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Gloucestershire v Glamorgan

Kickoff: 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

32 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Gloucestershire (Local)

Prediction 57.90%1.73fair odd
EV -1.57%
Edge -0.924%
Kelly -2.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
55.84%58.25%57.69%62.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.531.601.621.7065.36%62.45%61.73%58.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Glamorgan (Visit)

Prediction 42.10%2.38fair odd
EV +5.25%
Edge +2.10%
Kelly +3.50%
Growth +0.184%

assuming max odds 2.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.97%41.75%42.31%44.16%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.292.252.5046.51%43.59%44.44%40.00%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV +3.57%E +1.45%K +2.44%G +0.087%6.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +3.15%E +1.28%K +2.17%G +0.068%5.3%2026-07-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.04%E +0.434%K +0.744%G +0.008%6.2%2026-07-12 13:14
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.04%E +0.434%K +0.744%G +0.008%6.2%2026-07-12 13:14
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -1.06%E -0.452%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 13:14
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 13:14
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 13:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 08:25
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:24
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 13:24
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.36%E -4.60%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -9.06%E -4.20%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 19:39
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.57%E -0.924%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 08:45
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:29
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:19
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:23
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-12 13:24
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.25%9.6%2026-07-12 13:25