L’École des cotes

Gloucestershire v Glamorgan

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Gloucestershire (Local)

Prévision 57.90%1.73cote équitable
EV -1.57%
Avantage -0.924%
Kelly -2.24%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.70

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
55.84%58.25%57.69%62.03%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.531.601.621.7065.36%62.45%61.73%58.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Glamorgan (Visiteur)

Prévision 42.10%2.38cote équitable
EV +5.25%
Avantage +2.10%
Kelly +3.50%
Croissance +0.184%

avec la cote maximale 2.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.97%41.75%42.31%44.16%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.152.292.252.5046.51%43.59%44.44%40.00%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Coral1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Paddy Power1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Sky Bet1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV +5.25%E +2.10%K +3.50%G +0.184%5.4%2026-07-12 13:14
SportsBet1.53I 65.36%NM 61.65%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.46I 40.65%NM 38.35%EV +3.57%E +1.45%K +2.44%G +0.087%6.0%2026-07-12 13:14
Unibet (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV +3.15%E +1.28%K +2.17%G +0.068%5.3%2026-07-12 13:14
Ladbrokes (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.04%E +0.434%K +0.744%G +0.008%6.2%2026-07-12 13:14
Neds1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV +1.04%E +0.434%K +0.744%G +0.008%6.2%2026-07-12 13:14
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 60.57%EV -11.41%E -7.46%K -21.54%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.43%EV -1.06%E -0.452%K -0.787%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-12 13:14
Marathon Bet1.55I 64.52%NM 59.64%EV -10.26%E -6.62%K -18.65%G +0.000%2.29I 43.67%NM 40.36%EV -3.59%E -1.57%K -2.78%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-12 13:14
Betsson1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 13:19
NordicBet1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Grosvenor1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Unibet (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
TABtouch1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Virgin Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
LeoVegas (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
Casumo1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
LiveScore Bet1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
ATG (SE)1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 12:29
BoyleSports1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -6.20%E -3.83%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -5.27%E -2.34%K -4.22%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 08:25
betfred_uk1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:24
888sport1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 13:19
TAB1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 13:24
Betr (AU)1.60I 62.50%NM 57.89%EV -7.36%E -4.60%K -12.27%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.11%EV -7.38%E -3.35%K -6.15%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 13:24
BetOnline.ag1.67I 59.88%NM 56.40%EV -3.31%E -1.98%K -4.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.60%EV -9.06%E -4.20%K -7.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-11 19:39
William Hill1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -1.57%E -0.924%K -2.24%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-12 08:45
Pinnacle1.65I 60.61%NM 56.58%EV -4.47%E -2.71%K -6.87%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 23:29
Bet Victor1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:19
betano_uk1.61I 62.11%NM 57.18%EV -6.78%E -4.21%K -11.12%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -9.48%E -4.41%K -8.25%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-12 13:23
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook1.78I 56.18%NM 55.72%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.28%0.8%2026-07-12 13:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 58.33%2.38I 42.02%NM 41.67%0.8%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.77I 56.50%NM 55.86%2.24I 44.64%NM 44.14%1.1%2026-07-12 13:24
Smarkets1.58I 63.29%NM 57.75%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.25%9.6%2026-07-12 13:25