The School of OddsEnglish
Glamorgan v Northamptonshire
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Glamorgan (Local)
Prediction 50.60%1.98fair odd
EV +6.25%
Edge +2.98%
Kelly +5.68%
Growth +0.355%
assuming max odds 2.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.17%50.36%50.53%52.63%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.871.892.1055.56%53.46%52.91%47.62%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Northamptonshire (Visit)
Prediction 49.40%2.02fair odd
EV -1.19%
Edge -0.596%
Kelly -1.19%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.00
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.37%49.64%49.47%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.731.911.902.0057.80%52.33%52.63%50.00%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hill | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +6.25%E +2.98%K +5.68%G +0.355% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -14.53%E -8.40%K -19.91%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 08:49 |
| Pinnacle | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -0.831%E -0.424%K -0.866%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -11.57%E -6.46%K -14.64%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-07-06 17:45 |
| TAB | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.34%E -0.686%K -1.41%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:00 |
| 888sport | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| betfred_uk | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| BoyleSports | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.36%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.56%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 17:10 |
| NordicBet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| LiveScore Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Virgin Bet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:14 |
| Unibet | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000% | 1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Casumo | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Unibet (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Grosvenor | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:14 |
| TABtouch | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:14 |
| ATG (SE) | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Betr (AU) | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.19%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Betsson | 1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.40%E -3.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.40%E -3.46%K -7.53%G +0.000% | 1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| SportsBet | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Bet Victor | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.20%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-08 17:14 |
| Unibet (UK) | 1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.42%E -4.65%K -10.40%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Coral | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 17:19 |
| Sky Bet | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 17:14 |
| Paddy Power | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-07-08 17:15 |
| Neds | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 17:19 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.30%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
| Betway | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-07-08 17:20 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 0.3% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74% | 0.6% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |
| Smarkets | 1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87% | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13% | 1.3% | 2026-07-08 17:25 |