La scuola delle quote

Glamorgan v Northamptonshire

Inizio: 2026-07-08 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Glamorgan (Casa)

Previsione 50.60%1.98quota equa
EV +6.25%
Vantaggio +2.98%
Kelly +5.68%
Crescita +0.355%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%50.36%50.53%52.63%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.801.871.892.1055.56%53.46%52.91%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Northamptonshire (Trasferta)

Previsione 49.40%2.02quota equa
EV -1.19%
Vantaggio -0.596%
Kelly -1.19%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.00

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
47.37%49.64%49.47%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.911.902.0057.80%52.33%52.63%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +6.25%E +2.98%K +5.68%G +0.355%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -14.53%E -8.40%K -19.91%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 08:49
Pinnacle1.96I 51.02%NM 47.73%EV -0.831%E -0.424%K -0.866%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 52.27%EV -11.57%E -6.46%K -14.64%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 17:45
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -1.34%E -0.686%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:00
888sport1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 17:15
betfred_uk1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -3.36%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-08 17:15
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -3.36%E -1.76%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -9.59%E -5.24%K -11.56%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 17:10
NordicBet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:25
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:15
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:14
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -3.87%E -2.04%K -4.30%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -6.13%E -3.23%K -6.81%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:15
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:15
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:15
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:15
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:14
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:14
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -4.37%E -2.31%K -4.91%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -6.63%E -3.51%K -7.45%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:15
Betr (AU)1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -5.38%E -2.88%K -6.19%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.00%EV -7.62%E -4.07%K -8.75%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 17:25
Betsson1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -6.40%E -3.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:15
Marathon Bet1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -6.40%E -3.46%K -7.53%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.00%EV -8.60%E -4.65%K -10.12%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-08 17:15
SportsBet1.83I 54.64%NM 51.84%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 48.16%EV -2.67%E -1.36%K -2.76%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 17:20
Bet Victor1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -7.41%E -4.05%K -8.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -5.64%E -2.95%K -6.20%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-08 17:14
Unibet (UK)1.81I 55.25%NM 51.86%EV -8.42%E -4.65%K -10.40%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.14%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-08 17:20
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:25
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:14
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -1.19%E -0.596%K -1.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:15
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -3.17%E -1.62%K -3.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -8.93%E -4.96%K -11.16%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -3.66%E -1.88%K -3.86%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 17:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%0.3%2026-07-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-07-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.94I 51.55%NM 51.26%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.74%0.6%2026-07-08 17:25
Smarkets1.98I 50.51%NM 49.87%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.13%1.3%2026-07-08 17:25