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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Essex v Surrey

开赛时间： 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Essex (主队)

预测 37.37%2.68公平赔率
EV -2.09%
优势 -0.797%
Kelly -1.29%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 2.62

博彩公司预测分布
35.80%37.63%37.47%39.95%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.362.542.602.6242.37%39.32%38.46%38.17%最小值均值中位数最大值

Surrey (客队)

预测 62.63%1.60公平赔率
EV -1.67%
优势 -1.06%
Kelly -2.93%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.57

博彩公司预测分布
60.05%62.37%62.53%64.20%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.441.501.501.5769.44%66.84%66.67%63.69%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Essex (主队)：37.37%；Surrey (客队)：62.63%。 对于“Surrey (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.60。 当时没有符合条件的博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率：最佳赔率为1.57，期望值为-1.67%，未产生正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.09%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 00:09
888sport🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 00:09
NordicBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:40
Betsson🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:40
William Hill🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 00:50
TAB🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 00:09
Virgin Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:29
TABtouch🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.19%E -6.34%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 00:09
SportsBet🎯2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 17:50
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Paddy Power🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Unibet (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 17:50
Bet Victor🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.81%E -6.82%K -22.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 17:39
Marathon Bet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -6.95%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Neds🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 17:50
BetOnline.ag🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -11.81%E -5.00%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -1.67%E -1.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-07-01 17:50
Matchbook◎2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-07-01 17:50
Smarkets◎2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%3.5%2026-07-01 17:50