La scuola delle quote

Essex v Surrey

Inizio: 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Essex (Casa)

Previsione 37.37%2.68quota equa
EV -2.09%
Vantaggio -0.797%
Kelly -1.29%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.62

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
35.80%37.63%37.47%39.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.362.542.602.6242.37%39.32%38.46%38.17%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Surrey (Trasferta)

Previsione 62.63%1.60quota equa
EV -1.67%
Vantaggio -1.06%
Kelly -2.93%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.57

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
60.05%62.37%62.53%64.20%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.441.501.501.5769.44%66.84%66.67%63.69%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
betfred_uk2.62I 38.17%NM 36.41%EV -2.09%E -0.797%K -1.29%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.59%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%4.8%2026-06-30 00:09
888sport2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 00:09
NordicBet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:40
Betsson2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-01 17:40
William Hill2.60I 38.46%NM 36.59%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 63.41%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-30 00:50
TAB2.60I 38.46%NM 36.27%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.73%EV -7.31%E -4.94%K -15.23%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-30 00:09
Virgin Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
LiveScore Bet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Casumo2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
LeoVegas (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Grosvenor2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Unibet (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:29
TABtouch2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Unibet2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
ATG (SE)2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-27 08:30
Betr (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -2.84%E -1.09%K -1.77%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -9.19%E -6.34%K -20.42%G +0.000%7.4%2026-06-30 00:09
SportsBet2.53I 39.53%NM 37.22%EV -5.45%E -2.15%K -3.56%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.78%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 17:50
Coral2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Sky Bet2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
BoyleSports2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -4.18%E -2.73%K -7.88%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:50
Unibet (UK)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 17:50
Bet Victor2.50I 40.00%NM 36.55%EV -6.57%E -2.63%K -4.38%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.45%EV -9.81%E -6.82%K -22.30%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-01 17:39
Marathon Bet2.49I 40.16%NM 37.12%EV -6.95%E -2.79%K -4.66%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 62.88%EV -7.93%E -5.40%K -16.88%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 07:19
Ladbrokes (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Neds2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -8.44%E -3.45%K -5.82%G +0.000%1.52I 65.79%NM 61.71%EV -4.80%E -3.16%K -9.24%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Betway2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -10.31%E -4.30%K -7.36%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -6.06%E -4.04%K -12.11%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-01 17:50
BetOnline.ag2.36I 42.37%NM 39.95%EV -11.81%E -5.00%K -8.68%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.05%EV -1.67%E -1.06%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26%1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74%0.9%2026-07-01 17:50
Matchbook2.80I 35.71%NM 35.33%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.67%1.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 36.47%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.53%1.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.68I 37.31%NM 36.64%1.55I 64.52%NM 63.36%1.8%2026-07-01 17:50
Smarkets2.62I 38.17%NM 36.87%1.53I 65.36%NM 63.13%3.5%2026-07-01 17:50