The School of Odds

Essex v Middlesex

2026-07-05 15:00 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Essex (Local)

Odds
1.4469.44%Min
1.4867.39%Mean
1.4867.57%Median
1.5365.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
61.56%1.624Min
65.63%1.524Max
63.79%1.568Mean
63.73%1.569Median
63.83%1.567IQM
63.87%1.566Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.53 under the IQM model: 63.83%

EV -2.35%Edge -1.53%Kelly -4.43%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Middlesex (Visit)

Odds
2.4540.82%Min
2.5938.62%Mean
2.6038.46%Median
2.7536.36%Max
Consensus probabilities
34.37%2.910Min
38.44%2.601Max
36.21%2.762Mean
36.27%2.757Median
36.17%2.764IQM
36.13%2.767Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.75 under the IQM model: 36.17%

EV -0.520%Edge -0.189%Kelly -0.297%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerEssex (Local) ▼Middlesex (Visit)MarginUpdated
LiveScore Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:35
Casumo1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:35
Virgin Bet1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:35
Unibet (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:35
TABtouch1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:35
LeoVegas (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:34
Grosvenor1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:34
ATG (SE)1.53I 65.36% NM 61.56%EV -2.35% E -1.53% K -4.43% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.44%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-04 08:35
Pinnacle1.51I 66.23% NM 61.87%EV -3.62% E -2.40% K -7.10% G +0.000%2.45I 40.82% NM 38.13%EV -11.37% E -4.64% K -7.84% G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-05 13:50
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -4.26% E -2.84% K -8.52% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -5.22% E -1.99% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 07:10
Coral1.50I 66.67% NM 63.59%EV -4.26% E -2.84% K -8.52% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 36.41%EV -5.22% E -1.99% K -3.22% G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-05 07:05
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -4.26% E -2.84% K -8.52% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -5.95% E -2.29% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:50
Neds1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -4.26% E -2.84% K -8.52% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -5.95% E -2.29% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 13:50
BoyleSports1.50I 66.67% NM 63.41%EV -4.26% E -2.84% K -8.52% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.59%EV -5.95% E -2.29% K -3.72% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-05 12:50
Unibet (UK)1.48I 67.57% NM 64.16%EV -5.54% E -3.74% K -11.54% G +0.000%2.65I 37.74% NM 35.84%EV -4.14% E -1.56% K -2.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 13:50
BetOnline.ag1.48I 67.57% NM 63.73%EV -5.54% E -3.74% K -11.54% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 36.27%EV -5.95% E -2.29% K -3.72% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:40
Marathon Bet1.48I 67.57% NM 62.44%EV -5.54% E -3.74% K -11.54% G +0.000%2.46I 40.65% NM 37.56%EV -11.01% E -4.48% K -7.54% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-05 14:14
SportsBet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -7.45% E -5.14% K -16.56% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -2.33% E -0.863% K -1.37% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:50
NordicBet1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -7.45% E -5.14% K -16.56% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -2.33% E -0.863% K -1.37% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:10
Betsson1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -7.45% E -5.14% K -16.56% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -2.33% E -0.863% K -1.37% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:15
TAB1.45I 68.97% NM 65.06%EV -7.45% E -5.14% K -16.56% G +0.000%2.70I 37.04% NM 34.94%EV -2.33% E -0.863% K -1.37% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:14
Betr (AU)1.45I 68.97% NM 64.20%EV -7.45% E -5.14% K -16.56% G +0.000%2.60I 38.46% NM 35.80%EV -5.95% E -2.29% K -3.72% G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-05 14:10
Betway1.45I 68.97% NM 63.29%EV -7.45% E -5.14% K -16.56% G +0.000%2.50I 40.00% NM 36.71%EV -9.56% E -3.83% K -6.38% G +0.000%9.0%2026-07-05 07:05
Sky Bet1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.09% E -5.62% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -0.520% E -0.189% K -0.297% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:49
Paddy Power1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.09% E -5.62% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -0.520% E -0.189% K -0.297% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.09% E -5.62% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -0.520% E -0.189% K -0.297% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:49
888sport1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.09% E -5.62% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -0.520% E -0.189% K -0.297% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 14:10
betfred_uk1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.09% E -5.62% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -0.520% E -0.189% K -0.297% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 14:09
William Hill1.44I 69.44% NM 65.63%EV -8.09% E -5.62% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.75I 36.36% NM 34.37%EV -0.520% E -0.189% K -0.297% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 14:10
Bet Victor1.44I 69.44% NM 64.53%EV -8.09% E -5.62% K -18.39% G +0.000%2.62I 38.17% NM 35.47%EV -5.22% E -1.99% K -3.22% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerEssex (Local)Middlesex (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.54I 64.94%2.84I 35.21%0.1%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.54I 64.94%2.84I 35.21%0.1%2026-07-05 14:15
Matchbook1.54I 64.94%2.84I 35.21%0.1%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.54I 64.94%2.80I 35.71%0.6%2026-07-05 14:15
Smarkets1.49I 67.11%2.78I 35.97%3.1%2026-07-05 14:15