Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →
ipotizzando la quota massima 1.53
ipotizzando la quota massima 2.80
Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Essex (Casa): 64.73%; Middlesex (Trasferta): 35.27%. Per Essex (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 1.54. Nessun bookmaker idoneo offriva una quota di chiusura superiore a tale livello: la migliore era 1.53, con un valore atteso del -0.968%; non produceva valore atteso positivo.
Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.
| Bookmaker | Casa ▼ | Trasferta | Margine | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:34 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:34 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -0.968%E -0.633%K -1.83%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-04 08:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 61.87%EV -2.26%E -1.50%K -4.44%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -13.58%E -5.54%K -9.37%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-07-05 13:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.85%E -3.30%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 14:40 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.47I 68.03%NM 63.88%EV -4.85%E -3.30%K -10.32%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 36.12%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-07-05 14:39 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.46I 68.49%NM 63.32%EV -5.50%E -3.77%K -11.95%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 36.68%EV -11.11%E -4.41%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.24%E -0.441%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 14:45 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -1.24%E -0.441%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-07-05 14:45 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-07-05 14:44 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.63%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.37%EV -6.53%E -2.46%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-07-05 14:45 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.45I 68.97%NM 64.20%EV -6.15%E -4.24%K -13.66%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -8.29%E -3.19%K -5.18%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-07-05 14:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:40 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:39 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:39 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:40 |
| 888sport🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:45 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.71%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-07-05 14:10 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.38%EV -6.79%E -4.72%K -15.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.62%EV -4.06%E -1.49%K -2.36%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-07-05 14:40 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 66.67%EV -9.38%E -6.70%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.33%EV -1.24%E -0.441%K -0.686%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-07-05 14:44 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.40I 71.43%NM 65.85%EV -9.38%E -6.70%K -23.46%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.15%EV -4.76%E -1.76%K -2.80%G +0.000% | 8.5% | 2026-07-05 14:40 |
Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.
| Bookmaker | Casa | Trasferta | Margine ▲ | Aggiornamento |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.58I 63.29%NM 62.74% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 37.26% | 0.9% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.38% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 36.62% | 1.1% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.56I 64.10%NM 63.03% | 2.66I 37.59%NM 36.97% | 1.7% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.52I 65.79%NM 63.46% | 2.64I 37.88%NM 36.54% | 3.7% | 2026-07-05 14:55 |