Essex v Hampshire

2026-07-10 18:00 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

19 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

48%

52%

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Essex (Local)

Prediction 47.59%2.10fair odd

EV -0.064%

Edge -0.031%

Kelly -0.058%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

45.17%47.41%48.13%48.94%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.901.992.002.10MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

45.17%2.214Min

48.94%2.043Max

47.41%2.109Mean

48.13%2.078Median

47.59%2.101IQM

47.16%2.120Margin-weighted

Hampshire (Visit)

Prediction 52.41%1.91fair odd

EV -3.04%

Edge -1.64%

Kelly -3.57%

Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution

51.06%52.59%51.87%54.83%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Odds’ distribution

1.731.791.801.85MINMEANMEDIANMAX

All estimators

Consensus probabilities

51.06%1.959Min

54.83%1.824Max

52.59%1.901Mean

51.87%1.928Median

52.41%1.908IQM

52.84%1.893Margin-weighted

Sportsbook Odds (19 sportsbooks)

Bookmaker	Essex (Local) ▼	Hampshire (Visit)	Margin	Updated
Betsson	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -0.064% E -0.031% K -0.058% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -8.28% E -4.73% K -11.04% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-08 22:39
NordicBet	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.45%EV -0.064% E -0.031% K -0.058% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 54.55%EV -8.28% E -4.73% K -11.04% G +0.000%	4.8%	2026-07-08 22:40
888sport	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -0.064% E -0.031% K -0.058% G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -9.33% E -5.39% K -12.78% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 22:40
betfred_uk	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -0.064% E -0.031% K -0.058% G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -9.33% E -5.39% K -12.78% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 22:39
William Hill	2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -0.064% E -0.031% K -0.058% G +0.000%	1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -9.33% E -5.39% K -12.78% G +0.000%	5.4%	2026-07-08 22:59
TAB	2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -2.44% E -1.19% K -2.33% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -8.28% E -4.73% K -11.04% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-08 22:49
Sky Bet	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.82% E -2.41% K -4.82% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.66% E -3.14% K -7.07% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:39
Paddy Power	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.82% E -2.41% K -4.82% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.66% E -3.14% K -7.07% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:38
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)	2.00I 50.00% NM 47.37%EV -4.82% E -2.41% K -4.82% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 52.63%EV -5.66% E -3.14% K -7.07% G +0.000%	5.6%	2026-07-08 21:55
Betr (AU)	2.00I 50.00% NM 46.67%EV -4.82% E -2.41% K -4.82% G +0.000%	1.75I 57.14% NM 53.33%EV -8.28% E -4.73% K -11.04% G +0.000%	7.1%	2026-07-08 22:40
Pinnacle	1.96I 51.02% NM 47.73%EV -6.73% E -3.43% K -7.01% G +0.000%	1.79I 55.87% NM 52.27%EV -6.18% E -3.45% K -7.83% G +0.000%	6.9%	2026-07-08 23:40
SportsBet	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%EV -7.20% E -3.69% K -7.58% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%EV -3.04% E -1.64% K -3.57% G +0.000%	5.3%	2026-07-08 21:35
Ladbrokes (AU)	1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -8.15% E -4.22% K -8.77% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -3.04% E -1.64% K -3.57% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-08 21:35
Neds	1.93I 51.81% NM 48.94%EV -8.15% E -4.22% K -8.77% G +0.000%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.06%EV -3.04% E -1.64% K -3.57% G +0.000%	5.9%	2026-07-08 21:35
Coral	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -9.11% E -4.77% K -10.01% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -4.09% E -2.23% K -4.92% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-08 21:35
Unibet (UK)	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -9.11% E -4.77% K -10.01% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -4.09% E -2.23% K -4.92% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-08 21:34
Ladbrokes (UK)	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.93%EV -9.11% E -4.77% K -10.01% G +0.000%	1.83I 54.64% NM 51.07%EV -4.09% E -2.23% K -4.92% G +0.000%	7.0%	2026-07-08 21:35
Bet Victor	1.91I 52.36% NM 48.52%EV -9.11% E -4.77% K -10.01% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.48%EV -5.66% E -3.14% K -7.07% G +0.000%	7.9%	2026-07-08 21:34
Betway	1.90I 52.63% NM 48.65%EV -9.58% E -5.04% K -10.65% G +0.000%	1.80I 55.56% NM 51.35%EV -5.66% E -3.14% K -7.07% G +0.000%	8.2%	2026-07-08 21:59

Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

Bookmaker	Essex (Local)	Hampshire (Visit)	Margin ▲	Updated
Smarkets	1.95I 51.28% NM 48.68%	1.85I 54.05% NM 51.32%	5.3%	2026-07-08 21:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)	1.44I 69.44% NM 50.17%	1.45I 68.97% NM 49.83%	38.4%	2026-07-08 21:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)	1.44I 69.44% NM 50.17%	1.45I 68.97% NM 49.83%	38.4%	2026-07-08 21:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)	1.44I 69.44% NM 50.17%	1.45I 68.97% NM 49.83%	38.4%	2026-07-08 21:55