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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Essex v Hampshire

开赛时间： 2026-07-10 18:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (8 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Essex (主队)

预测 47.74%2.09公平赔率
EV +0.246%
优势 +0.117%
Kelly +0.223%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.10

博彩公司预测分布
44.44%47.43%47.53%50.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.912.012.002.1052.36%49.86%50.00%47.62%最小值均值中位数最大值

Hampshire (客队)

预测 52.26%1.91公平赔率
EV -0.176%
优势 -0.092%
Kelly -0.193%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.91

博彩公司预测分布
50.00%52.57%52.47%55.56%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.781.801.9159.52%56.19%55.56%52.36%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Essex (主队)：47.74%；Hampshire (客队)：52.26%。 对于“Essex (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.09。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.10，对应+0.246%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
William Hill🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV +0.246%E +0.117%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -9.58%E -5.54%K -13.13%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 22:59
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.44%EV +0.246%E +0.117%K +0.223%G +0.001%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.56%EV -12.20%E -7.26%K -17.94%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 17:55
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:14
Virgin Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:14
Grosvenor🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:15
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:14
Casumo🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:15
TABtouch🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:14
Unibet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:15
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.91%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.09%EV -9.06%E -5.21%K -12.24%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-10 09:14
Betway🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -2.14%E -1.04%K -2.04%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -11.15%E -6.56%K -15.93%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 17:29
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:49
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:49
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:40
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:40
888sport🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:44
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.53%E -2.26%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-10 17:40
Unibet (UK)🎯1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -5.48%E -2.77%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-10 17:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.44%E -3.28%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 17:49
Neds🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -6.44%E -3.28%K -6.71%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 17:49
Betsson🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:44
NordicBet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:44
TAB🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -3.31%E -1.79%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-10 17:44
Betr (AU)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-10 17:40
Marathon Bet🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.44%EV -6.91%E -3.55%K -7.28%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.56%EV -8.02%E -4.55%K -10.55%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 17:40
BoyleSports🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -0.176%E -0.092%K -0.193%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-10 17:45
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -8.82%E -4.62%K -9.70%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -5.92%E -3.29%K -7.41%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-10 17:44
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.06I 48.54%NM 48.37%1.93I 51.81%NM 51.63%0.4%2026-07-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-10 17:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-10 17:55
Matchbook◎2.00I 50.00%NM 49.62%1.97I 50.76%NM 50.38%0.8%2026-07-10 17:55
Smarkets◎1.91I 52.36%NM 50.39%1.94I 51.55%NM 49.61%3.9%2026-07-10 17:55