The School of Odds

Durham v Nottinghamshire

2026-07-05 14:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis)

Option 1: Durham (Local)

Odds
1.8354.64%Min
2.0848.09%Mean
2.1047.62%Median
2.1746.08%Max
Consensus probabilities
43.49%2.299Min
50.00%2.000Max
45.34%2.206Mean
45.03%2.221Median
44.83%2.231IQM
45.15%2.215Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.17 under the IQM model: 44.83%

EV -2.72%Edge -1.25%Kelly -2.32%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Nottinghamshire (Visit)

Odds
1.6759.88%Min
1.7357.92%Mean
1.7357.80%Median
1.8354.64%Max
Consensus probabilities
50.00%2.000Min
56.51%1.770Max
54.66%1.829Mean
54.97%1.819Median
55.17%1.813IQM
54.85%1.823Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.83 under the IQM model: 55.17%

EV +0.960%Edge +0.524%Kelly +1.16%Growth +0.011%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDurham (Local)Nottinghamshire (Visit) ▼MarginUpdated
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64% NM 50.00%EV -17.96% E -9.81% K -21.64% G +0.000%1.83I 54.64% NM 50.00%EV +0.960% E +0.524% K +1.16% G +0.011%9.3%2026-07-05 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Casumo2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:04
Unibet2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
TABtouch2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:04
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78% NM 46.05%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.75I 57.14% NM 53.95%EV -3.45% E -1.97% K -4.60% G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 13:54
Coral2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 13:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 21:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 21:55
888sport2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 02:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 22:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62% NM 45.17%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 54.83%EV -4.56% E -2.63% K -6.24% G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 02:45
SportsBet2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.11% E -2.97% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Neds2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.11% E -2.97% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.11% E -2.97% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 45.03%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 54.97%EV -5.11% E -2.97% K -7.10% G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00% NM 46.24%EV -10.34% E -5.17% K -10.34% G +0.000%1.72I 58.14% NM 53.76%EV -5.11% E -2.97% K -7.10% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 14:14
Betsson2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.61% E -1.68% K -3.14% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.21% E -3.65% K -8.87% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:15
NordicBet2.15I 46.51% NM 44.16%EV -3.61% E -1.68% K -3.14% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.84%EV -6.21% E -3.65% K -8.87% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-05 14:10
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -6.21% E -3.65% K -8.87% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 22:05
Betway2.05I 48.78% NM 45.33%EV -8.10% E -3.95% K -7.71% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 54.67%EV -6.21% E -3.65% K -8.87% G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 13:55
TAB2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -3.61% E -1.68% K -3.14% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -7.32% E -4.35% K -10.76% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 14:14
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39% NM 44.33%EV -5.41% E -2.56% K -4.87% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 55.67%EV -7.32% E -4.35% K -10.76% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08% NM 43.49%EV -2.72% E -1.25% K -2.32% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.51%EV -7.87% E -4.71% K -11.74% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:30
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62% NM 44.30%EV -5.86% E -2.79% K -5.32% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 55.70%EV -7.87% E -4.71% K -11.74% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 14:09
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerDurham (Local)Nottinghamshire (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%1.86I 53.76%1.4%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.10I 47.62%1.85I 54.05%1.7%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.10I 47.62%1.85I 54.05%1.7%2026-07-05 14:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%1.85I 54.05%1.7%2026-07-05 14:15
Smarkets2.12I 47.17%1.79I 55.87%3.0%2026-07-05 14:15