La scuola delle quote

Durham v Nottinghamshire

Inizio: 2026-07-05 14:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Durham (Casa)

Previsione 44.97%2.22quota equa
EV -2.41%
Vantaggio -1.11%
Kelly -2.06%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.17

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.49%45.44%45.03%50.00%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.832.082.102.1754.64%48.17%47.62%46.08%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Nottinghamshire (Trasferta)

Previsione 55.03%1.82quota equa
EV +0.699%
Vantaggio +0.382%
Kelly +0.842%
Crescita +0.006%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
50.00%54.56%54.97%56.51%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.731.731.8359.88%57.86%57.80%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasaTrasferta ▼MargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV -17.70%E -9.67%K -21.32%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.00%EV +0.699%E +0.382%K +0.842%G +0.006%9.3%2026-07-05 14:09
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Grosvenor2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Casumo2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Virgin Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:04
Unibet2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:05
TABtouch2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:04
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -3.70%E -2.12%K -4.94%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-05 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 13:54
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-05 13:55
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 21:29
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 21:55
888sport2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 02:25
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-03 22:00
William Hill2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.80%E -2.78%K -6.58%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-04 02:45
Betsson2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 14:25
NordicBet2.15I 46.51%NM 44.44%EV -3.31%E -1.54%K -2.88%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 55.56%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-05 14:25
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Neds2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Unibet (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-05 13:55
Marathon Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 46.24%EV -10.05%E -5.03%K -10.05%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 53.76%EV -5.35%E -3.11%K -7.44%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-05 14:14
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-03 22:05
TAB2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.56%E -2.65%K -5.05%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-05 14:25
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.45%E -3.80%K -9.22%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-05 13:55
Pinnacle2.11I 47.39%NM 44.33%EV -5.11%E -2.42%K -4.60%G +0.000%1.68I 59.52%NM 55.67%EV -7.56%E -4.50%K -11.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 13:35
BetOnline.ag2.17I 46.08%NM 43.49%EV -2.41%E -1.11%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.51%EV -8.11%E -4.85%K -12.10%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:30
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 44.89%EV -7.80%E -3.81%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 55.11%EV -8.11%E -4.85%K -12.10%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-05 14:23
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.00%1.80I 55.56%NM 55.00%1.0%2026-07-05 14:25
Matchbook2.10I 47.62%NM 46.84%1.85I 54.05%NM 53.16%1.7%2026-07-05 14:25
Smarkets2.18I 45.87%NM 44.95%1.78I 56.18%NM 55.05%2.1%2026-07-05 14:25