預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Durham v Northamptonshire

開賽時間: 2026-06-06 18:00 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

22 家博彩公司 (6 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Durham (主隊)

預測 47.64%2.10公平賠率
EV -3.77%
優勢 -1.86%
Kelly -3.69%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 2.02

博彩公司預測分布
45.84%47.56%47.48%52.00%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.801.931.932.0255.56%51.85%51.81%49.50%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Northamptonshire (客隊)

預測 52.36%1.91公平賠率
EV +2.10%
優勢 +1.08%
Kelly +2.21%
成長率 +0.047%

假設最高賠率為 1.95

博彩公司預測分布
48.00%52.44%52.52%54.16%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.711.861.881.9558.48%53.88%53.19%51.28%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Durham (主隊):47.64%;Northamptonshire (客隊):52.36%。 對於「Northamptonshire (客隊)」,該估計相當於1.91的公平十進位賠率。 當時有5家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為1.95,對應+2.10%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (22 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
Betr (AU)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.25%E -7.92%K -17.81%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.10%E +1.08%K +2.21%G +0.047%6.8%2026-06-06 17:49
Paddy Power🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
Casumo🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
TABtouch🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
LiveScore Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
Virgin Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
Unibet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-06 17:49
LeoVegas🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:49
Unibet (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:49
Grosvenor🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:49
ATG (SE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-06 17:49
TAB🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.09%E -1.12%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-06 17:49
SportsBet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.04%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-06 17:49
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 17:49
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 17:49
Bet Victor🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-06-06 17:48
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-06 17:39
Betway🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000%8.2%2026-06-06 17:49
Pinnacle🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.90%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-06 17:49
BetOnline.ag🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.14%K -9.51%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-06 17:49
Marathon Bet🎯2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -3.77%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -10.46%E -6.12%K -14.74%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-06 17:49
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87%0.3%2026-06-06 17:49
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-06-06 17:49
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63%2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37%0.3%2026-06-06 17:49
Matchbook1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25%2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75%0.5%2026-06-06 17:49
Smarkets1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13%1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87%2.3%2026-06-06 17:49