语言:简体中文
Durham v Northamptonshire
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Durham (主队)
预测 47.64%2.10公平赔率
EV -3.77%
优势 -1.86%
Kelly -3.69%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 2.02
博彩公司预测分布
45.84%47.56%47.48%52.00%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.801.931.932.0255.56%51.85%51.81%49.50%最小值均值中位数最大值
Northamptonshire (客队)
预测 52.36%1.91公平赔率
EV +2.10%
优势 +1.08%
Kelly +2.21%
增长率 +0.047%
假设最高赔率为 1.95
博彩公司预测分布
48.00%52.44%52.52%54.16%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.711.861.881.9558.48%53.88%53.19%51.28%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Durham (主队)：47.64%；Northamptonshire (客队)：52.36%。 对于“Northamptonshire (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为1.91。 当时有5家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为1.95，对应+2.10%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (22 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -14.25%E -7.92%K -17.81%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV +2.10%E +1.08%K +2.21%G +0.047% | 6.8% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV +0.007%E +0.004%K +0.008%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 49.21%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.79%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.93I 51.81%NM 49.34%EV -8.05%E -4.17%K -8.66%G +0.000% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 50.66%EV -1.56%E -0.832%K -1.78%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 49.60%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 50.40%EV -2.09%E -1.12%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.94I 51.55%NM 48.95%EV -7.58%E -3.91%K -8.06%G +0.000% | 1.86I 53.76%NM 51.05%EV -2.61%E -1.40%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -9.01%E -4.72%K -9.90%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -4.18%E -2.28%K -5.04%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-06-06 17:48 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-06-06 17:39 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -9.48%E -4.99%K -10.54%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -5.75%E -3.20%K -7.19%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.96I 51.02%NM 47.59%EV -6.63%E -3.38%K -6.90%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.41%EV -6.80%E -3.82%K -8.72%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -4.72%E -2.36%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -7.32%E -4.14%K -9.51%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.02I 49.50%NM 45.84%EV -3.77%E -1.86%K -3.69%G +0.000% | 1.71I 58.48%NM 54.16%EV -10.46%E -6.12%K -14.74%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (5)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.99I 50.25%NM 50.13% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.87% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.97I 50.76%NM 50.63% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 49.37% | 0.3% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.98I 50.51%NM 50.25% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 49.75% | 0.5% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |
| Smarkets◎ | 1.95I 51.28%NM 50.13% | 1.96I 51.02%NM 49.87% | 2.3% | 2026-06-06 17:49 |