La scuola delle quote

Durham v Derbyshire

Inizio: 2026-07-10 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Durham (Casa)

Previsione 54.96%1.82quota equa
EV -3.82%
Vantaggio -2.18%
Kelly -5.09%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
54.23%55.30%54.96%56.96%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.641.701.701.7560.98%58.77%58.82%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Derbyshire (Trasferta)

Previsione 45.04%2.22quota equa
EV -0.912%
Vantaggio -0.415%
Kelly -0.760%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.04%44.70%45.04%45.77%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.052.122.102.2048.78%47.26%47.62%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
Betsson1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 17:04
NordicBet1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -3.82%E -2.18%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-10 17:04
Coral1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 13:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 13:59
Paddy Power1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 13:59
Sky Bet1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 13:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 14:00
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-08 23:04
betfred_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-10 17:04
William Hill1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-09 00:00
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -4.92%E -2.84%K -6.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-10 17:04
SportsBet1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:00
Neds1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:00
Ladbrokes (AU)1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.47%E -3.18%K -7.60%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-10 14:00
Unibet (UK)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 17:09
Betr (AU)1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 17:04
TAB1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.57%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.42%E -2.58%K -4.92%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 17:09
Betway1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.57%E -3.86%K -9.38%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.67%E -3.74%K -7.30%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-10 13:59
Marathon Bet1.68I 59.52%NM 55.08%EV -7.67%E -4.56%K -11.28%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 44.92%EV -7.22%E -3.50%K -6.81%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-10 14:35
BoyleSports1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV -0.912%E -0.415%K -0.760%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-09 10:39
Unibet (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
Virgin Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
LeoVegas (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
Grosvenor1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
LiveScore Bet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
Casumo1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
TABtouch1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:40
Unibet1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
ATG (SE)1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV -8.22%E -4.92%K -12.26%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -3.16%E -1.47%K -2.75%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-10 11:39
Pinnacle1.64I 60.98%NM 56.96%EV -9.87%E -6.02%K -15.41%G +0.000%2.17I 46.08%NM 43.04%EV -2.26%E -1.04%K -1.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-10 17:25
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-10 17:25
Matchbook1.83I 54.64%NM 54.36%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.64%0.5%2026-07-10 17:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.81I 55.25%NM 54.64%2.18I 45.87%NM 45.36%1.1%2026-07-10 17:25
Smarkets1.79I 55.87%NM 54.45%2.14I 46.73%NM 45.55%2.6%2026-07-10 17:25