The School of Odds

Derbyshire v Somerset

2026-07-08 17:30 — T20 Blast

Head to Head

31 sportsbooks (9 in analysis )

Option 1: Derbyshire (Local)

Odds
2.1047.62%Min
2.1746.16%Mean
2.1546.51%Median
2.2544.44%Max
Consensus probabilities
42.11%2.375Min
44.74%2.235Max
43.50%2.299Mean
43.60%2.293Median
43.54%2.297IQM
43.43%2.303Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 2.25 under the IQM model: 43.54%

EV -2.04%Edge -0.909%Kelly -1.64%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: Somerset (Visit)

Odds
1.6062.50%Min
1.6759.89%Mean
1.6759.88%Median
1.7357.80%Max
Consensus probabilities
55.26%1.810Min
57.89%1.727Max
56.50%1.770Mean
56.40%1.773Median
56.46%1.771IQM
56.57%1.768Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.73 under the IQM model: 56.46%

EV -2.32%Edge -1.34%Kelly -3.17%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)

BookmakerDerbyshire (Local) ▼Somerset (Visit)MarginUpdated
NordicBet2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -2.04% E -0.909% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -6.83% E -4.14% K -10.51% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 21:25
Betsson2.25I 44.44% NM 42.31%EV -2.04% E -0.909% K -1.64% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.69%EV -6.83% E -4.14% K -10.51% G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-06 21:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45% NM 44.02%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.98%EV -2.32% E -1.34% K -3.17% G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 15:34
Coral2.20I 45.45% NM 44.02%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.73I 57.80% NM 55.98%EV -2.32% E -1.34% K -3.17% G +0.000%3.3%2026-07-07 15:34
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:49
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:50
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 21:24
888sport2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 21:24
William Hill2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 21:30
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 22:49
BoyleSports2.20I 45.45% NM 43.15%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.85%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-07 08:00
TAB2.20I 45.45% NM 42.86%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 57.14%EV -6.83% E -4.14% K -10.51% G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-06 21:27
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45% NM 42.11%EV -4.22% E -1.92% K -3.52% G +0.000%1.60I 62.50% NM 57.89%EV -9.66% E -6.04% K -16.10% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-06 21:24
BetOnline.ag2.16I 46.30% NM 43.60%EV -5.96% E -2.76% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.40%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-07 15:14
Pinnacle2.16I 46.30% NM 43.31%EV -5.96% E -2.76% K -5.14% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.69%EV -6.83% E -4.14% K -10.51% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-06 22:50
SportsBet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.86%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.14%EV -5.14% E -3.06% K -7.56% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-07 22:50
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:29
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:29
TABtouch2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:29
Casumo2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:30
Unibet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:30
LiveScore Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:29
Virgin Bet2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:29
Grosvenor2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:29
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51% NM 43.72%EV -6.40% E -2.98% K -5.56% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 56.28%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 13:29
Unibet (UK)2.12I 47.17% NM 44.06%EV -7.70% E -3.63% K -6.88% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 55.94%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-07 15:34
Marathon Bet2.12I 47.17% NM 43.62%EV -7.70% E -3.63% K -6.88% G +0.000%1.64I 60.98% NM 56.38%EV -7.40% E -4.51% K -11.56% G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-07 21:50
Ladbrokes (AU)2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -8.57% E -4.08% K -7.80% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -4.01% E -2.36% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:35
Neds2.10I 47.62% NM 44.74%EV -8.57% E -4.08% K -7.80% G +0.000%1.70I 58.82% NM 55.26%EV -4.01% E -2.36% K -5.73% G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-07 15:35
Bet Victor2.10I 47.62% NM 44.30%EV -8.57% E -4.08% K -7.80% G +0.000%1.67I 59.88% NM 55.70%EV -5.71% E -3.42% K -8.51% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-07 15:32
Betway2.10I 47.62% NM 44.00%EV -8.57% E -4.08% K -7.80% G +0.000%1.65I 60.61% NM 56.00%EV -6.83% E -4.14% K -10.51% G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-07 15:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerDerbyshire (Local)Somerset (Visit)Margin ▲Updated
Matchbook2.20I 45.45% NM 44.44%1.76I 56.82% NM 55.56%2.3%2026-07-07 22:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%5.4%2026-07-07 16:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%5.4%2026-07-07 16:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.18I 45.87% NM 43.52%1.68I 59.52% NM 56.48%5.4%2026-07-07 16:15
Smarkets2.06I 48.54% NM 44.77%1.67I 59.88% NM 55.23%8.4%2026-07-08 00:55