La scuola delle quote

Derbyshire v Somerset

Inizio: 2026-07-08 17:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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30 bookmaker (8 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Derbyshire (Casa)

Previsione 51.46%1.94quota equa
EV +13.22%
Vantaggio +6.01%
Kelly +11.02%
Crescita +1.46%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
43.15%50.78%52.32%53.95%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.751.851.802.2057.14%54.07%55.56%45.45%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Somerset (Trasferta)

Previsione 48.54%2.06quota equa
EV -0.499%
Vantaggio -0.243%
Kelly -0.475%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.05

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
46.05%49.22%47.68%56.85%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.671.941.982.0559.88%51.61%50.63%48.78%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (30 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 43.15%EV +13.22%E +6.01%K +11.02%G +1.46%1.67I 59.88%NM 56.85%EV -18.94%E -11.34%K -28.27%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-06 21:30
Pinnacle2.01I 49.75%NM 46.54%EV +3.44%E +1.71%K +3.41%G +0.117%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.46%EV -15.06%E -8.61%K -20.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-08 17:20
Marathon Bet1.96I 51.02%NM 47.17%EV +0.867%E +0.443%K +0.904%G +0.008%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.83%EV -15.06%E -8.61%K -20.08%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-08 17:20
BoyleSports1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -1.71%E -0.893%K -1.87%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -12.63%E -7.02%K -15.79%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-08 17:10
Unibet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.09%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:20
LiveScore Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.09%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:20
Virgin Bet1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -2.22%E -1.17%K -2.47%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 50.00%EV -7.78%E -4.09%K -8.64%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:19
LeoVegas (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:19
Unibet (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:20
TABtouch1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:19
Casumo1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:20
Grosvenor1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:20
ATG (SE)1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -2.74%E -1.45%K -3.07%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.00%EV -8.26%E -4.37%K -9.29%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-08 17:20
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:19
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:25
888sport1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-08 17:20
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -7.37%E -4.09%K -9.21%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -5.35%E -2.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-08 17:23
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.499%E -0.243%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 17:25
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -0.499%E -0.243%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-08 17:25
Unibet (UK)1.78I 56.18%NM 53.16%EV -8.40%E -4.72%K -10.76%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 46.84%EV -1.96%E -0.968%K -1.92%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-08 17:20
SportsBet1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -8.91%E -5.03%K -11.57%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -0.499%E -0.243%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-08 17:20
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -0.499%E -0.243%K -0.475%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-08 17:25
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -2.93%E -1.46%K -2.93%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-08 17:25
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -9.94%E -5.68%K -13.25%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -5.35%E -2.75%K -5.63%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-08 17:20
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-08 17:25
Matchbook1.86I 53.76%NM 53.50%2.14I 46.73%NM 46.50%0.5%2026-07-08 17:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-08 17:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.90I 52.63%NM 51.78%2.04I 49.02%NM 48.22%1.7%2026-07-08 17:25
Smarkets1.82I 54.95%NM 53.33%2.08I 48.08%NM 46.67%3.0%2026-07-08 17:25