The School of Odds

Derbyshire v Leicestershire

2026-07-12 13:30 UTC — T20 Blast

Head to Head

29 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Derbyshire (Local)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV +0.010%
Edge +0.005%
Kelly +0.010%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
47.09%49.84%50.80%51.48%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.801.931.952.0056%52%51%50%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Leicestershire (Visit)

Prediction 50.00%2.00fair odd
EV -3.51%
Edge -1.82%
Kelly -3.77%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.93

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.52%50.16%49.20%52.91%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.781.841.851.9356%54%54%52%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (29 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
888sport2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.01%E -5.56%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 00:49
betfred_uk2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.01%E -5.56%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 00:48
William Hill2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -10.01%E -5.56%K -12.51%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-11 01:25
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:30
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:29
Unibet (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:29
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:30
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:29
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:29
LiveScore Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:30
ATG (SE)2.00I 50.00%NM 47.09%EV +0.010%E +0.005%K +0.010%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.91%EV -11.01%E -6.18%K -14.11%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-10 21:29
Betsson1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.51%E -4.06%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:49
NordicBet1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.51%E -4.06%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:49
TAB1.95I 51.28%NM 48.68%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.32%EV -7.51%E -4.06%K -8.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 00:59
Betr (AU)1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -2.49%E -1.28%K -2.62%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -10.01%E -5.56%K -12.51%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 00:49
Marathon Bet1.92I 52.08%NM 48.25%EV -3.99%E -2.08%K -4.34%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 51.75%EV -10.51%E -5.87%K -13.30%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 02:04
Sky Bet1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.49%E -2.35%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.51%E -2.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 01:50
Paddy Power1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.49%E -2.35%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.51%E -2.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 01:48
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.49%E -2.35%K -4.93%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 50.00%EV -4.51%E -2.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%4.7%2026-07-11 01:50
SportsBet1.88I 53.19%NM 50.53%EV -5.99%E -3.19%K -6.81%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.47%EV -4.01%E -2.09%K -4.36%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-11 01:50
Ladbrokes (AU)1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.51%E -1.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 01:34
Neds1.85I 54.05%NM 51.06%EV -7.49%E -4.05%K -8.81%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.94%EV -3.51%E -1.82%K -3.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-11 01:34
Pinnacle1.84I 54.35%NM 50.80%EV -7.99%E -4.34%K -9.51%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.20%EV -5.01%E -2.64%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-10 23:10
Ladbrokes (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.49%E -4.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.51%E -2.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 01:34
Coral1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -8.49%E -4.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -4.51%E -2.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-11 01:39
Unibet (UK)1.83I 54.64%NM 50.94%EV -8.49%E -4.64%K -10.23%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.06%EV -5.01%E -2.64%K -5.57%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-11 01:50
Bet Victor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.48%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.52%EV -4.51%E -2.36%K -4.96%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-11 01:34
Betway1.80I 55.56%NM 51.35%EV -9.99%E -5.55%K -12.49%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 48.65%EV -5.01%E -2.64%K -5.57%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-11 01:34
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 50.67%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.33%6.7%2026-07-11 01:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.55I 64.52%NM 50.00%1.55I 64.52%NM 50.00%29.0%2026-07-11 01:39
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.55I 64.52%NM 50.00%1.55I 64.52%NM 50.00%29.0%2026-07-11 01:39
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 50.00%1.40I 71.43%NM 50.00%42.9%2026-07-11 01:39