La scuola delle quote

Derbyshire v Leicestershire

Inizio: 2026-07-12 13:30 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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32 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Derbyshire (Casa)

Previsione 52.90%1.89quota equa
EV -3.19%
Vantaggio -1.74%
Kelly -3.84%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.83

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
51.07%52.97%52.70%54.83%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.731.791.801.8357.80%55.99%55.56%54.64%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Leicestershire (Trasferta)

Previsione 47.10%2.12quota equa
EV -1.10%
Vantaggio -0.523%
Kelly -0.998%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.10

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
45.17%47.03%47.30%48.93%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.911.981.992.1052.36%50.42%50.25%47.62%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (32 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BetOnline.ag1.83I 54.64%NM 51.07%EV -3.19%E -1.74%K -3.84%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.93%EV -10.05%E -5.26%K -11.04%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-12 04:59
Pinnacle1.82I 54.95%NM 51.47%EV -3.72%E -2.04%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.53%EV -9.10%E -4.72%K -9.79%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 12:29
SportsBet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:24
Ladbrokes (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:19
Sky Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:14
Coral1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:19
Paddy Power1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:14
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:14
betfred_uk1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 13:19
William Hill1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-12 12:50
Unibet (UK)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.38%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 47.62%EV -6.75%E -3.41%K -6.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-12 13:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 13:19
Neds1.80I 55.56%NM 52.13%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 47.87%EV -7.69%E -3.92%K -8.01%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-12 13:19
Unibet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 09:59
Virgin Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 09:59
LiveScore Bet1.80I 55.56%NM 52.00%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.00%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-12 09:59
Grosvenor1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 09:59
Unibet (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 09:59
TABtouch1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 09:59
LeoVegas (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 09:59
Casumo1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 09:59
ATG (SE)1.80I 55.56%NM 51.87%EV -4.77%E -2.65%K -5.97%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 48.13%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 09:59
Betsson1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:19
NordicBet1.78I 56.18%NM 53.52%EV -5.83%E -3.28%K -7.48%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.48%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-12 13:19
Marathon Bet1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.36%E -3.59%K -8.26%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.63%E -4.45%K -9.18%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-12 13:24
TAB1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.45%E -1.68%K -3.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-12 13:19
Betr (AU)1.75I 57.14%NM 53.33%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.67%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-12 13:19
Betway1.75I 57.14%NM 52.70%EV -7.42%E -4.24%K -9.89%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 47.30%EV -8.16%E -4.19%K -8.59%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-12 13:19
888sport1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.48%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.10%E -0.523%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 13:19
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -8.48%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -1.10%E -0.523%K -0.998%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-12 13:09
Bet Victor1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.48%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 13:19
betano_uk1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.48%E -4.90%K -11.61%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -5.81%E -2.90%K -5.81%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-12 13:19
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 13:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 13:19
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 13:24
Matchbook1.89I 52.91%NM 52.39%2.08I 48.08%NM 47.61%1.0%2026-07-12 13:19
Smarkets1.85I 54.05%NM 52.69%2.06I 48.54%NM 47.31%2.6%2026-07-12 13:25