La scuola delle quote

Derbyshire v Lancashire

Inizio: 2026-07-01 18:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

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31 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: IQM

Derbyshire (Casa)

Previsione 45.23%2.21quota equa
EV +4.04%
Vantaggio +1.76%
Kelly +3.11%
Crescita +0.125%

ipotizzando la quota massima 2.30

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
41.33%44.93%45.26%46.05%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
2.042.102.102.3049.02%47.63%47.62%43.48%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Lancashire (Trasferta)

Previsione 54.77%1.83quota equa
EV -4.16%
Vantaggio -2.38%
Kelly -5.54%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.75

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
53.95%55.07%54.74%58.67%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuzione delle quote
1.621.711.701.7561.73%58.46%58.82%57.14%MINMEDIAMEDIANAMAX

Quote dei bookmaker (31 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV +4.04%E +1.76%K +3.11%G +0.125%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -11.28%E -6.96%K -18.19%G +0.000%5.2%2026-07-01 17:10
BetOnline.ag2.20I 45.45%NM 42.86%EV -0.486%E -0.221%K -0.405%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 57.14%EV -9.64%E -5.84%K -14.82%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-01 17:40
888sport2.15I 46.51%NM 44.16%EV -2.75%E -1.28%K -2.39%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.84%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-01 17:40
NordicBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 17:40
Betsson2.10I 47.62%NM 45.45%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 54.55%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%4.8%2026-07-01 17:40
Coral2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Ladbrokes (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:40
betfred_uk2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:40
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%5.4%2026-07-01 17:40
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.03%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.97%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-01 17:40
Betr (AU)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-01 17:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:20
LeoVegas (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
LiveScore Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:20
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
Unibet (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:20
ATG (SE)2.10I 47.62%NM 44.74%EV -5.01%E -2.39%K -4.55%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 55.26%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-29 16:30
Unibet (UK)2.08I 48.08%NM 45.26%EV -5.91%E -2.84%K -5.48%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.74%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-01 17:50
Pinnacle2.07I 48.31%NM 45.09%EV -6.37%E -3.08%K -5.95%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.91%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.1%2026-06-29 18:10
TAB2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -4.16%E -2.38%K -5.54%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-01 17:50
Bet Victor2.05I 48.78%NM 45.77%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 54.23%EV -5.25%E -3.04%K -7.20%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-01 17:39
Ladbrokes (AU)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 17:50
Neds2.05I 48.78%NM 45.62%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 54.38%EV -5.80%E -3.37%K -8.06%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-01 17:50
Betway2.05I 48.78%NM 45.33%EV -7.27%E -3.55%K -6.93%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.67%EV -6.90%E -4.06%K -9.85%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-01 17:40
Marathon Bet2.04I 49.02%NM 45.31%EV -7.72%E -3.79%K -7.43%G +0.000%1.69I 59.17%NM 54.69%EV -7.44%E -4.41%K -10.79%G +0.000%8.2%2026-07-01 17:40
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (5)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook2.20I 45.45%NM 45.41%1.83I 54.64%NM 54.59%0.1%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.20I 45.45%NM 45.14%1.81I 55.25%NM 54.86%0.7%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 46.15%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.85%3.2%2026-07-01 17:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%4.6%2026-07-01 17:50
Smarkets2.04I 49.02%NM 46.87%1.80I 55.56%NM 53.13%4.6%2026-07-01 17:50