預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ireland v Afghanistan

開賽時間: 2026-08-05 09:45 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (5 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

Ireland (主隊)

預測 40.53%2.47公平賠率
EV +1.72%
優勢 +0.685%
Kelly +1.14%
成長率 +0.020%

假設最高賠率為 2.51

博彩公司預測分布
38.33%40.22%40.73%41.86%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
2.252.372.372.5144.44%42.28%42.19%39.84%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Afghanistan (客隊)

預測 59.47%1.68公平賠率
EV -3.65%
優勢 -2.25%
Kelly -5.89%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.62

博彩公司預測分布
58.14%59.78%59.27%61.67%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.72%63.69%61.73%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:Ireland (主隊):40.53%;Afghanistan (客隊):59.47%。 對於「Ireland (主隊)」,該估計相當於2.47的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為2.51,對應+1.72%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊 ▼客隊利潤率更新時間
Pinnacle🎯2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV +1.72%E +0.685%K +1.14%G +0.020%1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -7.22%E -4.63%K -12.89%G +0.000%3.9%2026-08-05 07:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:20
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:20
Virgin Bet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:20
TABtouch🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:20
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:20
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000%1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-05 08:19
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-05 07:20
BoyleSports🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-04 12:40
SportsBet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.22%E -4.63%K -12.89%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-05 09:10
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 07:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-05 07:20
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-04 21:49
Bet Right🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 21:49
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-04 22:25
GTbets🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 22:29
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-04 21:49
Neds🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:14
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-05 09:14
Betr (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:50
TAB🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000%1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000%6.0%2026-08-04 21:54
Marathon Bet🎯2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.01%E -3.53%K -6.30%G +0.000%1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.22%E -4.63%K -12.89%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-05 08:34
Paddy Power🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-04 05:24
betano_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 09:19
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000%1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-05 09:20
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-08-05 09:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90%1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10%0.2%2026-08-05 09:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10%1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90%0.6%2026-08-05 09:40