语言:简体中文
Ireland v Afghanistan
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Ireland (主队)
预测 40.53%2.47公平赔率
EV +1.72%
优势 +0.685%
Kelly +1.14%
增长率 +0.020%
假设最高赔率为 2.51
博彩公司预测分布
38.33%40.22%40.73%41.86%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.252.372.372.5144.44%42.28%42.19%39.84%最小值均值中位数最大值
Afghanistan (客队)
预测 59.47%1.68公平赔率
EV -3.65%
优势 -2.25%
Kelly -5.89%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.62
博彩公司预测分布
58.14%59.78%59.27%61.67%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.531.571.571.6265.36%63.72%63.69%61.73%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Ireland (主队)：40.53%；Afghanistan (客队)：59.47%。 对于“Ireland (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.47。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.51，对应+1.72%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.51I 39.84%NM 38.33%EV +1.72%E +0.685%K +1.14%G +0.020% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 61.67%EV -7.22%E -4.63%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-08-05 07:00 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -0.712%E -0.291%K -0.491%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -9.00%E -5.89%K -16.99%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-05 08:19 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-05 07:20 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-08-04 12:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.59%EV -3.55%E -1.49%K -2.57%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.41%EV -7.22%E -4.63%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-05 09:10 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 07:20 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -3.95%E -1.67%K -2.89%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-05 07:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -4.76%E -2.03%K -3.53%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.97%EV -5.98%E -2.58%K -4.53%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.03%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.33%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.67%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-04 22:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 22:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.18%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 58.82%EV -4.25%E -2.64%K -6.96%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-04 21:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:14 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-05 09:14 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:50 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 41.03%EV -6.79%E -2.95%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.97%EV -4.84%E -3.03%K -8.07%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-08-04 21:54 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.27I 44.05%NM 40.73%EV -8.01%E -3.53%K -6.30%G +0.000% | 1.56I 64.10%NM 59.27%EV -7.22%E -4.63%K -12.89%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-05 08:34 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.86%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.14%EV -3.65%E -2.25%K -5.89%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-04 05:24 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 09:19 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -8.82%E -3.92%K -7.05%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -6.63%E -4.22%K -11.62%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-08-05 09:20 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (3)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.50I 40.00%NM 39.90% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 60.10% | 0.2% | 2026-08-05 09:35 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.48I 40.32%NM 40.10% | 1.66I 60.24%NM 59.90% | 0.6% | 2026-08-05 09:40 |