Language:English
Bangladesh v New Zealand
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 61.09%1.64fair odd
EV -4.09%
Edge -2.61%
Kelly -7.18%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.57
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
58.90%61.02%61.25%62.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.551.561.5766.67%64.41%64.10%63.69%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
New Zealand (Visit)
Prediction 38.91%2.57fair odd
EV +0.396%
Edge +0.154%
Kelly +0.251%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.58
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.23%38.98%38.75%41.10%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.392.372.5844.44%41.90%42.19%38.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 61.09%; New Zealand (Visit): 38.91%. For New Zealand (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.57. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.58, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.396%.
Sportsbook Odds (32 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit ▼ | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.396%E +0.154%K +0.251%G +0.001% | 4.1% | 2026-04-23 03:54 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -1.94%E -0.769%K -1.28%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-22 23:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.76%E -5.14%K -15.21%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.72%E -1.09%K -1.81%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 03:54 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 04:49 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 04:54 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 04:54 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-04-23 04:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -6.22%E -2.58%K -4.41%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 04:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 04:49 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 04:55 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 04:54 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 04:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 04:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-04-23 04:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.33%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 04:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -7.78%E -3.28%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 04:49 |
| Coral🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -7.78%E -3.28%K -5.68%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:45 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:45 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 04:44 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.97%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-23 04:45 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.50%E -4.56%K -8.08%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 04:48 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 04:35 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06% | 0.3% | 2026-04-23 04:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10% | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90% | 0.4% | 2026-04-23 04:50 |