L’École des cotes

Bangladesh v New Zealand

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-23 05:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

32 opérateurs (7 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Bangladesh (Local)

Prévision 61.09%1.64cote équitable
EV -4.09%
Avantage -2.61%
Kelly -7.18%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.57

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
58.90%61.02%61.25%62.77%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.551.561.5766.67%64.41%64.10%63.69%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

New Zealand (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.91%2.57cote équitable
EV +0.396%
Avantage +0.154%
Kelly +0.251%
Croissance +0.001%

avec la cote maximale 2.58

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.23%38.98%38.75%41.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.392.372.5844.44%41.90%42.19%38.76%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (32 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼MargeMise à jour
Pinnacle1.53I 65.36%NM 62.77%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 37.23%EV +0.396%E +0.154%K +0.251%G +0.001%4.1%2026-04-23 03:54
GTbets1.51I 66.23%NM 62.53%EV -7.76%E -5.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 37.47%EV -1.94%E -0.769%K -1.28%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-22 23:30
DraftKings1.51I 66.23%NM 62.34%EV -7.76%E -5.14%K -15.21%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.66%EV -2.72%E -1.09%K -1.81%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 03:54
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 04:49
Bet Right1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 04:54
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.3%2026-04-23 04:54
Betr (AU)1.54I 64.94%NM 61.40%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -4.66%E -1.90%K -3.22%G +0.000%5.8%2026-04-23 04:54
SportsBet1.55I 64.52%NM 60.86%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.41I 41.49%NM 39.14%EV -6.22%E -2.58%K -4.41%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 04:49
TAB1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -5.32%E -3.43%K -9.66%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.24%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 04:49
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 04:55
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.37%E -5.58%K -16.74%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.61%E -2.75%K -4.72%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 04:54
Sky Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 04:45
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 04:45
William Hill1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%5.7%2026-04-23 04:54
Bet Victor1.53I 65.36%NM 60.87%EV -6.54%E -4.27%K -12.33%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.13%EV -7.39%E -3.10%K -5.35%G +0.000%7.4%2026-04-23 04:54
Ladbrokes (UK)1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -7.78%E -3.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 04:49
Coral1.57I 63.69%NM 60.15%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 39.85%EV -7.78%E -3.28%K -5.68%G +0.000%5.9%2026-04-23 04:44
Unibet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 04:44
LiveScore Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 04:44
Virgin Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 04:44
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 04:44
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 04:44
Everygame1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 04:44
Unibet (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:45
Casumo1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:45
Grosvenor1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:44
LeoVegas1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:44
LeoVegas (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:44
ATG (SE)1.56I 64.10%NM 60.10%EV -4.70%E -3.02%K -8.40%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.90%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 04:44
TABtouch1.54I 64.94%NM 60.41%EV -5.93%E -3.85%K -10.97%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 39.59%EV -8.55%E -3.64%K -6.34%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 04:45
BoyleSports1.57I 63.69%NM 59.43%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 40.57%EV -10.50%E -4.56%K -8.08%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 04:48
Marathon Bet1.57I 63.69%NM 58.90%EV -4.09%E -2.61%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 41.10%EV -12.45%E -5.53%K -9.96%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 04:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (3)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-23 04:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.61I 62.11%NM 61.94%2.62I 38.17%NM 38.06%0.3%2026-04-23 04:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.63I 61.35%NM 61.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 38.90%0.4%2026-04-23 04:50