The School of Odds
Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)
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Bangladesh v Australia

Kickoff: 2026-06-11 05:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

28 sportsbooks (6 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Bangladesh (Local)

Prediction 46.95%2.13fair odd
EV +0.939%
Edge +0.437%
Kelly +0.816%
Growth +0.008%

assuming max odds 2.15

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
43.86%46.79%46.87%48.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.942.022.002.1551.55%49.61%50.00%46.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Australia (Visit)

Prediction 53.05%1.88fair odd
EV -1.85%
Edge -1.00%
Kelly -2.18%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
51.95%53.21%53.13%56.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.681.781.801.8559.52%56.15%55.56%54.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 46.95%; Australia (Visit): 53.05%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.13. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.15, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.939%.

Sportsbook Odds (28 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.939%E +0.437%K +0.816%G +0.008%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.87%E -6.47%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 04:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.41%E -0.671%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.28%E -5.43%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 04:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 04:50
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 04:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 04:49
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 04:49
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 04:40
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:50
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 04:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 04:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 04:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 04:46
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-06-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-06-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-11 04:40