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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Bangladesh v Australia

开赛时间： 2026-06-11 05:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

28 家博彩公司 (6 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bangladesh (主队)

预测 46.95%2.13公平赔率
EV +0.939%
优势 +0.437%
Kelly +0.816%
增长率 +0.008%

假设最高赔率为 2.15

博彩公司预测分布
43.86%46.79%46.87%48.05%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.942.022.002.1551.55%49.61%50.00%46.51%最小值均值中位数最大值

Australia (客队)

预测 53.05%1.88公平赔率
EV -1.85%
优势 -1.00%
Kelly -2.18%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.85

博彩公司预测分布
51.95%53.21%53.13%56.14%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.681.781.801.8559.52%56.15%55.56%54.05%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bangladesh (主队)：46.95%；Australia (客队)：53.05%。 对于“Bangladesh (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.13。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.15，对应+0.939%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
GTbets🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.86%EV +0.939%E +0.437%K +0.816%G +0.008%1.68I 59.52%NM 56.14%EV -10.87%E -6.47%K -15.99%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-11 04:10
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.88%EV -1.41%E -0.671%K -1.28%G +0.000%1.71I 58.48%NM 55.12%EV -9.28%E -5.43%K -13.07%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-11 04:40
PlayUp🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 04:50
Bet Right🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 04:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.34%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.66%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-11 04:49
SportsBet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.19%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 53.81%EV -6.63%E -3.77%K -8.72%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
TAB🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -3.76%E -1.83%K -3.58%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 53.95%EV -7.16%E -4.09%K -9.55%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-11 04:49
Pinnacle🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 48.05%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 51.95%EV -1.85%E -1.00%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-11 04:40
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
ATG (SE)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:39
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:50
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
Coral🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:40
BoyleSports🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 47.37%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.63%EV -4.51%E -2.50%K -5.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-06-11 04:49
Betr (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 04:50
Neds🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 04:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.95%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 53.05%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%6.5%2026-06-11 04:40
Bet Victor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 46.38%EV -6.10%E -3.05%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 53.62%EV -8.22%E -4.75%K -11.26%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-11 04:49
Marathon Bet🎯1.94I 51.55%NM 47.71%EV -8.92%E -4.60%K -9.49%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.29%EV -6.10%E -3.45%K -7.92%G +0.000%8.0%2026-06-11 04:46
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (3)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-06-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.16I 46.30%NM 46.27%1.86I 53.76%NM 53.73%0.1%2026-06-11 04:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 47.00%1.88I 53.19%NM 53.00%0.4%2026-06-11 04:40