语言:简体中文
Zimbabwe v South Africa
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
Zimbabwe (主队)
预测 27.41%3.65公平赔率
EV +15.12%
优势 +3.60%
Kelly +4.72%
增长率 +0.714%
假设最高赔率为 4.20
博彩公司预测分布
22.51%26.97%27.67%29.55%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.423.404.2032.26%29.24%29.41%23.81%最小值均值中位数最大值
South Africa (客队)
预测 72.59%1.38公平赔率
EV -3.45%
优势 -2.60%
Kelly -10.47%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.33
博彩公司预测分布
70.45%73.03%72.33%77.49%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.221.311.321.3381.97%76.48%75.76%75.19%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Zimbabwe (主队)：27.41%；South Africa (客队)：72.59%。 对于“Zimbabwe (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.65。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为4.20，对应+15.12%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (29 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 ▼ | 客队 | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +15.12%E +3.60%K +4.72%G +0.714% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -11.44%E -9.38%K -52.00%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-09-01 11:40 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +2.51%E +0.671%K +0.916%G +0.023% | 1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.30%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.505%E -0.139%K -0.192%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.91%E -3.74%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 3.9% | 2026-09-01 10:39 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-09-01 09:45 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.91%E -3.74%K -15.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000% | 1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-09-01 11:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matchbook◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39% | 0.2% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 0.6% | 2026-09-01 11:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47% | 1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53% | 0.7% | 2026-09-01 11:55 |