Modello predefinitoMedia interquartile (Lista Curata)

Zimbabwe v South Africa

Inizio: 2026-09-01 12:00 UTC

Quote di chiusura — probabilità e valore atteso calcolati dalle ultime quote registrate prima dell’inizio secondo il modello selezionato. L’incontro è iniziato, quindi non sono dati in tempo reale. Valuti l’affidabilità delle previsioni probabilistiche di ciascun modello rispetto a tutti i risultati definitivi →

Testa a testa

29 bookmaker (9 nell’analisi )

Probabilità stimata di ciascun risultato secondo il modello: Media interquartile (Lista Curata)

Zimbabwe (Casa)

Previsione 27.41%3.65quota equa
EV +15.12%
Vantaggio +3.60%
Kelly +4.72%
Crescita +0.714%

ipotizzando la quota massima 4.20

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
22.51%26.97%27.67%29.55%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
3.103.423.404.2032.26%29.24%29.41%23.81%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

South Africa (Trasferta)

Previsione 72.59%1.38quota equa
EV -3.45%
Vantaggio -2.60%
Kelly -10.47%
Crescita +0.000%

ipotizzando la quota massima 1.33

Distribuzione delle stime di probabilità dei bookmaker
70.45%73.03%72.33%77.49%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.
Distribuzione delle quote
1.221.311.321.3381.97%76.48%75.76%75.19%MIN.MEDIAMEDIANAMAX.

Alle ultime quote prima dell’inizio, Media interquartile (Lista Curata) stimava per Testa a testa: Zimbabwe (Casa): 27.41%; South Africa (Trasferta): 72.59%. Per Zimbabwe (Casa), questa stima equivaleva a una quota decimale equa di 3.65. 2 bookmaker offrivano quote di chiusura superiori a tale livello; la migliore era 4.20, corrispondente a un valore atteso positivo del +15.12%.

Quote dei bookmaker (29 bookmaker)

Non siamo affiliati ad alcun bookmaker e non ricaviamo nulla dalle operazioni svolte presso di essi.

BookmakerCasa ▼TrasfertaMargineAggiornamento
BoyleSports🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 22.51%EV +15.12%E +3.60%K +4.72%G +0.714%1.22I 81.97%NM 77.49%EV -11.44%E -9.38%K -52.00%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-01 11:40
Pinnacle🎯3.74I 26.74%NM 25.50%EV +2.51%E +0.671%K +0.916%G +0.023%1.28I 78.13%NM 74.50%EV -7.08%E -5.53%K -25.30%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-01 11:50
BetOnline.ag🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.52%EV -0.505%E -0.139%K -0.192%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 73.48%EV -4.91%E -3.74%K -15.83%G +0.000%3.9%2026-09-01 10:39
GTbets🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 11:55
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -4.07%E -1.16%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-01 09:45
NordicBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 11:54
Betsson🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.67%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.33%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-01 11:55
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 72.48%EV -4.91%E -3.74%K -15.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-01 11:55
Betr (AU)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -5.44%E -1.58%K -2.22%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%5.9%2026-09-01 11:55
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%4.6%2026-09-01 11:55
Unibet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
Virgin Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
Casumo🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
LiveScore Bet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-01 11:50
SportsBet🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:55
TAB🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -6.81%E -2.00%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-01 11:50
Grosvenor🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -4.18%E -3.17%K -13.06%G +0.000%5.6%2026-09-01 11:50
TABtouch🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:50
FanDuel🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -8.18%E -2.44%K -3.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-01 11:54
Bet Victor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 11:53
betano_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.10%EV -9.55%E -2.89%K -4.15%G +0.000%1.29I 77.52%NM 71.90%EV -6.36%E -4.93%K -21.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-01 11:54
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 29.04%EV -10.92%E -3.36%K -4.85%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.96%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-01 11:55
Neds🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.36%EV -12.29%E -3.84%K -5.59%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.64%EV -3.45%E -2.60%K -10.47%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-01 11:50
Betway🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.55%EV -15.03%E -4.85%K -7.16%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.45%EV -5.63%E -4.33%K -18.77%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-01 11:54
Margine = Margine (overround) · I = Probabilità implicita · NM = Probabilità senza margine · EV = Valore atteso · E = Vantaggio · K = Criterio di Kelly · G = Crescita del capitale

Aggiornamento indica quando ciascun bookmaker ha modificato la quota per l’ultima volta: un orario meno recente significa che la quota non si è mossa, non che sia obsoleta. I bookmaker assenti da circa 15 minuti vengono normalmente esclusi; solo se tace il flusso dell’intero mercato si mostrano le ultime quote registrate.

Borse di scommesse (4)

BookmakerCasaTrasfertaMargine ▲Aggiornamento
Matchbook◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.61%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.39%0.2%2026-09-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%0.6%2026-09-01 11:50
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-09-01 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.75I 26.67%NM 26.47%1.35I 74.07%NM 73.53%0.7%2026-09-01 11:55