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West Indies v Sri Lanka
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
West Indies (Local)
Prediction 60.96%1.64fair odd
EV +5.47%
Edge +3.16%
Kelly +7.49%
Growth +0.410%
assuming max odds 1.73
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
54.83%60.07%61.25%62.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.501.581.571.7366.67%63.39%63.69%57.80%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Sri Lanka (Visit)
Prediction 39.04%2.56fair odd
EV -1.24%
Edge -0.490%
Kelly -0.810%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.53
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.50%39.93%38.75%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.372.352.5347.62%42.17%42.55%39.53%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: West Indies (Local): 60.96%; Sri Lanka (Visit): 39.04%. For West Indies (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 1.64. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 1.73, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.47%.
Sportsbook Odds (31 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +5.47%E +3.16%K +7.49%G +0.410% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -18.02%E -8.58%K -16.39%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-11 20:19 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +2.42%E +1.44%K +3.56%G +0.086% | 2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -14.90%E -6.84%K -12.63%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Everygame🎯 | 1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +1.81%E +1.08%K +2.70%G +0.049% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -16.07%E -7.48%K -13.98%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-06-12 00:17 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +0.591%E +0.358%K +0.909%G +0.005% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:19 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -1.85%E -1.15%K -3.03%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 4.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:19 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.24%E -0.490%K -0.810%G +0.000% | 3.2% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 3.7% | 2026-06-12 00:19 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 00:19 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.05%E -3.88%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000% | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.44%E -4.07%K -7.15%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000% | 2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.53%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.32%G +0.000% | 2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.14%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-06-12 00:19 |
| William Hill🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000% | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.33%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000% | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-06-12 00:19 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43% | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57% | 0.5% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91% | 0.7% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77% | 1.1% | 2026-06-12 00:20 |