L’École des cotes

West Indies v Sri Lanka

Coup d’envoi : 2026-06-12 00:30 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

31 opérateurs (9 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

West Indies (Local)

Prévision 60.96%1.64cote équitable
EV +5.47%
Avantage +3.16%
Kelly +7.49%
Croissance +0.410%

avec la cote maximale 1.73

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
54.83%60.07%61.25%62.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.501.581.571.7366.67%63.39%63.69%57.80%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Sri Lanka (Visiteur)

Prévision 39.04%2.56cote équitable
EV -1.24%
Avantage -0.490%
Kelly -0.810%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.53

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
37.50%39.93%38.75%45.17%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.102.372.352.5347.62%42.17%42.55%39.53%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (31 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMargeMise à jour
BoyleSports1.73I 57.80%NM 54.83%EV +5.47%E +3.16%K +7.49%G +0.410%2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -18.02%E -8.58%K -16.39%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-11 20:19
GTbets1.68I 59.52%NM 56.48%EV +2.42%E +1.44%K +3.56%G +0.086%2.18I 45.87%NM 43.52%EV -14.90%E -6.84%K -12.63%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 00:20
Everygame1.67I 59.88%NM 56.28%EV +1.81%E +1.08%K +2.70%G +0.049%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.72%EV -16.07%E -7.48%K -13.98%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-12 00:17
DraftKings1.65I 60.61%NM 57.69%EV +0.591%E +0.358%K +0.909%G +0.005%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.31%EV -12.17%E -5.41%K -9.74%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:19
Pinnacle1.61I 62.11%NM 59.65%EV -1.85%E -1.15%K -3.03%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 40.35%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%4.1%2026-06-12 00:20
LiveScore Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:20
Virgin Bet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:19
LeoVegas1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:20
LeoVegas (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:20
Unibet (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:20
ATG (SE)1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:20
Casumo1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:20
Unibet1.60I 62.50%NM 59.49%EV -2.46%E -1.54%K -4.10%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.51%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%5.1%2026-06-12 00:20
BetOnline.ag1.57I 63.69%NM 61.71%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.53I 39.53%NM 38.29%EV -1.24%E -0.490%K -0.810%G +0.000%3.2%2026-06-12 00:20
Betway1.57I 63.69%NM 61.43%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 38.57%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000%3.7%2026-06-12 00:19
Paddy Power1.57I 63.69%NM 60.25%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 39.75%EV -7.09%E -2.98%K -5.14%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-12 00:20
Ladbrokes (AU)1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 00:20
Neds1.57I 63.69%NM 59.95%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 40.05%EV -8.27%E -3.52%K -6.12%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 00:19
Grosvenor1.57I 63.69%NM 59.74%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.33I 42.92%NM 40.26%EV -9.05%E -3.88%K -6.80%G +0.000%6.6%2026-06-12 00:20
TABtouch1.57I 63.69%NM 59.64%EV -4.29%E -2.73%K -7.52%G +0.000%2.32I 43.10%NM 40.36%EV -9.44%E -4.07%K -7.15%G +0.000%6.8%2026-06-12 00:20
PlayUp1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 00:20
PointsBet (AU)1.55I 64.52%NM 61.25%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.75%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-12 00:20
FanDuel1.55I 64.52%NM 60.96%EV -5.51%E -3.55%K -10.01%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 39.04%EV -5.53%E -2.29%K -3.90%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 00:20
SportsBet1.54I 64.94%NM 61.21%EV -6.12%E -3.97%K -11.32%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.79%EV -5.14%E -2.12%K -3.60%G +0.000%6.1%2026-06-12 00:19
William Hill1.53I 65.36%NM 62.03%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.97%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 00:20
Betr (AU)1.53I 65.36%NM 61.56%EV -6.73%E -4.40%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.44%EV -4.36%E -1.78%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-12 00:20
TAB1.52I 65.79%NM 62.19%EV -7.33%E -4.83%K -14.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.81%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-12 00:20
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 62.50%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.50%EV -2.41%E -0.964%K -1.61%G +0.000%6.7%2026-06-12 00:20
NordicBet1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 00:20
Betsson1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 00:20
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -8.55%E -5.70%K -17.11%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.46%EV -6.31%E -2.63%K -4.51%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-12 00:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-12 00:20
Matchbook1.62I 61.73%NM 61.43%2.58I 38.76%NM 38.57%0.5%2026-06-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.60I 62.50%NM 62.09%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.91%0.7%2026-06-12 00:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.59I 62.89%NM 62.23%2.62I 38.17%NM 37.77%1.1%2026-06-12 00:20