預設模型四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

South Africa v Zimbabwe

開賽時間: 2026-08-29 11:58 UTC

收盤賠率 — 在所選模型下,根據開賽前最後記錄的價格計算所得的機率與期望值。賽事已經開始,因此這些並非即時數據。 以所有已結算賽事的實際結果評估各模型機率預測的可靠度 →

獨贏

28 家博彩公司 (8 家納入分析 )

模型估計的各結果發生機率:四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)

South Africa (主隊)

預測 71.90%1.39公平賠率
EV -3.66%
優勢 -2.73%
Kelly -10.76%
成長率 +0.000%

假設最高賠率為 1.34

博彩公司預測分布
69.98%71.97%71.88%73.77%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
1.281.311.301.3478.13%76.34%76.92%74.63%最小值平均值中位數最大值

Zimbabwe (客隊)

預測 28.10%3.56公平賠率
EV +1.18%
優勢 +0.327%
Kelly +0.452%
成長率 +0.005%

假設最高賠率為 3.60

博彩公司預測分布
26.23%28.03%28.12%30.02%最小值平均值中位數最大值
賠率分布
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.55%29.41%27.78%最小值平均值中位數最大值

依開賽前最後一組賠率,四分位數間平均值 (精選名單)對獨贏的機率估計為:South Africa (主隊):71.90%;Zimbabwe (客隊):28.10%。 對於「Zimbabwe (客隊)」,該估計相當於3.56的公平十進位賠率。 當時有1家博彩公司提供高於該水準的收盤賠率;最佳賠率為3.60,對應+1.18%的正期望值。

博彩公司賠率 (28 家博彩公司)

本站與任何博彩公司均無關聯,也不會從使用者與其進行的任何操作中獲利。

博彩公司主隊客隊 ▼利潤率更新時間
SportsBet🎯1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.48%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.18%E +0.327%K +0.452%G +0.005%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
BoyleSports🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.63%E -0.467%K -0.654%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 11:44
FanDuel🎯1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.63%E -0.467%K -0.654%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:44
Pinnacle🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-29 10:40
Unibet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Grosvenor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:56
Casumo🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Unibet (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
ATG (SE)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-29 11:55
PlayUp🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%4.6%2026-08-29 11:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Bet Right🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.2%2026-08-29 11:55
Paddy Power🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-29 11:55
GTbets🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -5.01%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-29 11:36
DraftKings🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-29 11:35
Betr (AU)🎯1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.82%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 11:55
TABtouch🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-08-29 11:55
NordicBet🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.66%E -2.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 11:56
Betsson🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.66%E -2.73%K -10.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-29 11:55
Neds🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-29 11:55
TAB🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-29 11:55
Betway🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.66%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-29 11:54
Bet Victor🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000%8.2%2026-08-29 11:53
betano_uk🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.88%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-29 11:54
利潤率 = 利潤率(超額機率) · I = 隱含機率 · NM = 無利潤率機率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 優勢 · K = Kelly 準則 · G = 投注資金成長率

更新時間 表示各家公司最後一次調整賠率的時間,因此較早的時間只代表賠率未再變動,不表示價格已失效。通常會排除約 15 分鐘內未收到資料的博彩公司;只有當整個市場的資料來源均停止更新時,才改為顯示最新記錄的價格。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主隊客隊利潤率 ▲更新時間
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71%0.2%2026-08-29 11:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-29 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88%0.6%2026-08-29 11:55
Matchbook◎1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57%0.8%2026-08-29 11:55