语言:简体中文
South Africa v Zimbabwe
收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →
胜负盘
South Africa (主队)
预测 71.90%1.39公平赔率
EV -3.66%
优势 -2.73%
Kelly -10.76%
增长率 +0.000%
假设最高赔率为 1.34
博彩公司预测分布
69.98%71.97%71.88%73.77%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.281.311.301.3478.13%76.34%76.92%74.63%最小值均值中位数最大值
Zimbabwe (客队)
预测 28.10%3.56公平赔率
EV +1.18%
优势 +0.327%
Kelly +0.452%
增长率 +0.005%
假设最高赔率为 3.60
博彩公司预测分布
26.23%28.03%28.12%30.02%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
3.103.383.403.6032.26%29.55%29.41%27.78%最小值均值中位数最大值
按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：South Africa (主队)：71.90%；Zimbabwe (客队)：28.10%。 对于“Zimbabwe (客队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为3.56。 当时有1家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为3.60，对应+1.18%的正期望值。
博彩公司赔率 (28 家博彩公司)
我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 ▼ | 利润率 | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SportsBet🎯 | 1.28I 78.13%NM 73.77%EV -7.97%E -6.23%K -28.48%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.23%EV +1.18%E +0.327%K +0.452%G +0.005% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.92%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 27.08%EV -1.63%E -0.467%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:44 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 1.29I 77.52%NM 73.07%EV -7.25%E -5.62%K -25.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.93%EV -1.63%E -0.467%K -0.654%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 11:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.38%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.46I 28.90%NM 27.62%EV -2.76%E -0.797%K -1.12%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-08-29 10:40 |
| Unibet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Casumo🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.63%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.37%EV -3.04%E -0.881%K -1.24%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.88%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.12%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 72.03%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 5.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.34%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.66%EV -4.44%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| GTbets🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.22%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.78%EV -5.01%E -1.48%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-08-29 11:36 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.73%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-08-29 11:35 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 1.31I 76.34%NM 71.89%EV -5.82%E -4.44%K -18.76%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.11%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 72.04%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.96%EV -5.85%E -1.75%K -2.49%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.66%E -2.73%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betsson🎯 | 1.34I 74.63%NM 71.12%EV -3.66%E -2.73%K -10.76%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Neds🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 71.27%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.73%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| TAB🎯 | 1.32I 75.76%NM 71.43%EV -5.10%E -3.86%K -15.93%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.57%EV -7.26%E -2.20%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 6.1% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.43%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.57%EV -8.66%E -2.66%K -3.85%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-08-29 11:54 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 1.30I 76.92%NM 71.11%EV -6.54%E -5.03%K -21.79%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.89%EV -10.07%E -3.15%K -4.58%G +0.000% | 8.2% | 2026-08-29 11:53 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 1.33I 75.19%NM 69.98%EV -4.38%E -3.29%K -13.27%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.02%EV -12.88%E -4.15%K -6.13%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-29 11:54 |
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率
更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。
博彩交易所 (4)
| 博彩公司 | 主队 | 客队 | 利润率 ▲ | 更新时间 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.38I 72.46%NM 72.29% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.71% | 0.2% | 2026-08-29 11:56 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.36I 73.53%NM 73.12% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 26.88% | 0.6% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 1.37I 72.99%NM 72.43% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 27.57% | 0.8% | 2026-08-29 11:55 |