The School of Odds

France v Turkey

2026-07-27 07:00 UTC — International Twenty20

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

France (Local)

Prediction 89.85%1.11fair odd
EV -4.76%
Edge -4.49%
Kelly -79.31%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
88.91%89.85%89.85%90.15%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.051.061.061.0695.24%94.59%94.34%94.34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Turkey (Visit)

Prediction 10.15%9.85fair odd
EV -1.55%
Edge -0.160%
Kelly -0.178%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 9.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.85%10.15%10.15%11.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
8.509.039.009.7011.76%11.08%11.11%10.31%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitMarginUpdated
FanDuel1.06I 94.34%NM 90.15%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.31%G +0.000%9.70I 10.31%NM 9.85%EV -1.55%E -0.160%K -0.178%G +0.000%4.6%2026-07-26 14:15
Paddy Power1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.65%E -0.962%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 14:15
TAB1.06I 94.34%NM 89.46%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.31%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.54%EV -8.65%E -0.962%K -1.08%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-26 16:20
Neds1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.73%E -1.62%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 14:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.06I 94.34%NM 88.91%EV -4.76%E -4.49%K -79.31%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.09%EV -13.73%E -1.62%K -1.83%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-26 14:15
SportsBet1.05I 95.24%NM 90.05%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.14%G +0.000%9.50I 10.53%NM 9.95%EV -3.58%E -0.377%K -0.421%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-26 14:15
BoyleSports1.05I 95.24%NM 89.55%EV -5.66%E -5.39%K -113.14%G +0.000%9.00I 11.11%NM 10.45%EV -8.65%E -0.962%K -1.08%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-26 17:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (3)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.05I 95.24%NM 79.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%20.2%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.05I 95.24%NM 79.21%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.79%20.2%2026-07-26 19:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.03I 97.09%NM 79.52%4.00I 25.00%NM 20.48%22.1%2026-07-26 19:00