Language:English
Bangladesh v Australia
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Bangladesh (Local)
Prediction 34.40%2.91fair odd
EV +0.438%
Edge +0.150%
Kelly +0.228%
Growth +0.001%
assuming max odds 2.92
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
32.56%34.25%34.45%35.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.812.802.9238.17%35.62%35.65%34.25%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Australia (Visit)
Prediction 65.60%1.52fair odd
EV -4.22%
Edge -2.89%
Kelly -9.17%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.46
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
64.48%65.75%65.55%67.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.401.431.441.4671.43%70.08%69.69%68.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Bangladesh (Local): 34.40%; Australia (Visit): 65.60%. For Bangladesh (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.91. 2 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.92, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.438%.
Sportsbook Odds (30 sportsbooks)
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.438%E +0.150%K +0.228%G +0.001% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.2% | 2026-06-21 07:29 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV +0.094%E +0.032%K +0.049%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-06-21 07:29 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.938%E -0.326%K -0.499%G +0.000% | 1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-19 11:40 |
| GTbets🎯 | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.06%G +0.000% | 1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-06-21 07:40 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000% | 1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 4.7% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 5.3% | 2026-06-20 21:40 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 07:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 07:40 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.8% | 2026-06-21 07:39 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.75%E -2.10%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| Neds🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 07:49 |
| TAB🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000% | 1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-06-21 07:38 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.22%E -2.89%K -9.17%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-06-20 21:39 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000% | 1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-06-21 07:50 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33% | 0.4% | 2026-06-21 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 07:50 |
| Matchbook◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48% | 0.8% | 2026-06-21 07:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04% | 1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96% | 0.9% | 2026-06-21 07:50 |