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默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)
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Bangladesh v Australia

开赛时间： 2026-06-21 08:00 UTC

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型，根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始，因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

30 家博彩公司 (9 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率：四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Bangladesh (主队)

预测 34.40%2.91公平赔率
EV +0.438%
优势 +0.150%
Kelly +0.228%
增长率 +0.001%

假设最高赔率为 2.92

博彩公司预测分布
32.56%34.25%34.45%35.52%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
2.622.812.802.9238.17%35.62%35.65%34.25%最小值均值中位数最大值

Australia (客队)

预测 65.60%1.52公平赔率
EV -4.22%
优势 -2.89%
Kelly -9.17%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.46

博彩公司预测分布
64.48%65.75%65.55%67.44%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.401.431.441.4671.43%70.08%69.69%68.49%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率，四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为：Bangladesh (主队)：34.40%；Australia (客队)：65.60%。 对于“Bangladesh (主队)”，该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为2.91。 当时有2家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率；最佳赔率为2.92，对应+0.438%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (30 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联，也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队 ▼客队利润率更新时间
BetOnline.ag🎯2.92I 34.25%NM 32.87%EV +0.438%E +0.150%K +0.228%G +0.001%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.13%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.2%2026-06-21 07:29
Pinnacle🎯2.91I 34.36%NM 32.95%EV +0.094%E +0.032%K +0.049%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 67.05%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000%4.3%2026-06-21 07:29
Unibet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
Unibet (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
Casumo🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
LeoVegas🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
Grosvenor🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-19 11:40
PlayUp🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 32.56%EV -0.250%E -0.086%K -0.132%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.44%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 07:49
TABtouch🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -0.938%E -0.326%K -0.499%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 67.29%EV -8.16%E -5.83%K -20.39%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-19 11:40
GTbets🎯2.85I 35.09%NM 33.41%EV -1.97%E -0.691%K -1.06%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 66.59%EV -6.19%E -4.33%K -14.39%G +0.000%5.0%2026-06-21 07:40
SportsBet🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 33.57%EV -3.35%E -1.19%K -1.85%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 66.43%EV -6.84%E -4.82%K -16.29%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 07:49
Betway🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 34.12%EV -3.69%E -1.32%K -2.05%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.88%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%4.7%2026-06-21 07:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 21:40
NordicBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 21:39
Betsson🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.52%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.48%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%5.3%2026-06-20 21:40
Paddy Power🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 07:39
William Hill🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 07:29
Betr (AU)🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 07:40
BoyleSports🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -5.41%E -1.97%K -3.09%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.63%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-06-21 07:39
FanDuel🎯2.74I 36.50%NM 34.45%EV -5.75%E -2.10%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.55%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000%5.9%2026-06-21 07:49
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 07:49
Neds🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 07:49
TAB🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-20 21:39
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.94%EV -7.13%E -2.64%K -4.19%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 65.06%EV -4.87%E -3.36%K -10.83%G +0.000%6.0%2026-06-21 07:38
Bet Right🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.52%EV -8.85%E -3.34%K -5.36%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 64.48%EV -4.22%E -2.89%K -9.17%G +0.000%6.2%2026-06-20 21:39
Bet Victor🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -9.88%E -3.77%K -6.10%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 64.53%EV -5.53%E -3.84%K -12.57%G +0.000%7.6%2026-06-21 07:50
利润率 = 利润率（超额概率） · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间，因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变，并不代表数据已经失效。通常，约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除；只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时，才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (4)

博彩公司主队客队利润率 ▲更新时间
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.67%1.48I 67.57%NM 67.33%0.4%2026-06-21 07:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-06-21 07:50
Matchbook◎3.05I 32.79%NM 32.52%1.47I 68.03%NM 67.48%0.8%2026-06-21 07:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.00I 33.33%NM 33.04%1.48I 67.57%NM 66.96%0.9%2026-06-21 07:50