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Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.35
assuming max odds 1.22
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Utah Valley Wolverines (Local): 22.79%; Santa Clara Broncos (Visit): 77.21%. For Utah Valley Wolverines (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.39. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 4.35, with an expected value of -0.876%; they did not produce positive expected value.
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| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.876%E -0.201%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.80%E -4.75%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-07 23:00 |
| Bally Bet🎯 | 4.35I 22.99%NM 21.90%EV -0.876%E -0.201%K -0.261%G +0.000% | 1.22I 81.97%NM 78.10%EV -5.80%E -4.75%K -26.37%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-11-07 22:58 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.79%EV -6.57%E -1.60%K -2.12%G +0.000% | 1.21I 82.64%NM 77.21%EV -6.57%E -5.43%K -31.30%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-11-07 23:00 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi◎ | 5.88I 17.01%NM 16.48% | 1.16I 86.21%NM 83.52% | 3.2% | 2026-11-07 23:00 |
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