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South Carolina Gamecocks v North Carolina Tar Heels

2026-11-08 22:30 UTC — WNCAAB

Head to Head

7 sportsbooks (3 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

South Carolina Gamecocks (Local)

Prediction 87.59%1.14fair odd
EV -4.52%
Edge -4.15%
Kelly -50.27%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.09

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
86.53%87.59%87.31%88.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.061.081.091.0994.34%92.47%91.74%91.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit)

Prediction 12.41%8.06fair odd
EV +5.46%
Edge +0.643%
Kelly +0.728%
Growth +0.040%

assuming max odds 8.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
11.27%12.41%12.69%13.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
7.007.437.008.5014.29%13.46%14.29%11.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: South Carolina Gamecocks (Local): 87.59%; North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit): 12.41%. For North Carolina Tar Heels (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 8.06. 1 bookmaker offers odds above that level; the best available odds are 8.50, producing a positive expected value of +5.46%.

Sportsbook Odds (7 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼MarginUpdated
DraftKings🎯1.08I 92.59%NM 88.73%EV -5.40%E -5.00%K -67.50%G +0.000%8.50I 11.76%NM 11.27%EV +5.46%E +0.643%K +0.728%G +0.040%4.4%2026-11-08 16:40
William Hill🎯1.06I 94.34%NM 88.30%EV -7.15%E -6.75%K -119.19%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 11.70%EV -0.742%E -0.093%K -0.106%G +0.000%6.8%2026-11-08 16:40
Caesars🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 87.31%EV -4.52%E -4.15%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.69%EV -6.95%E -0.926%K -1.07%G +0.000%5.1%2026-11-08 16:40
Unibet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.52%E -4.15%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.15%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 14:39
Bally Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.52%E -4.15%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.15%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 14:40
Hard Rock Bet🎯1.09I 91.74%NM 86.53%EV -4.52%E -4.15%K -50.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.47%EV -13.15%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-11-08 14:40
BetRivers🎯1.07I 93.46%NM 86.74%EV -6.28%E -5.87%K -89.65%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.26%EV -13.15%E -1.88%K -2.19%G +0.000%7.7%2026-11-08 14:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (2)

BookmakerLocalVisitMargin ▲Updated
Kalshi◎1.12I 89.29%NM 87.29%7.69I 13.00%NM 12.71%2.3%2026-11-08 12:30
Novig◎1.10I 90.91%NM 86.25%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.75%5.4%2026-11-08 16:40

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